Match Analysis: Indiana Hoosiers vs Kennesaw State Owls – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-06
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Memorial Stadium, Bloomington, IN
Game Overview
The Indiana Hoosiers (1-0) host the Kennesaw State Owls (0-1) in an NCAA football matchup where Indiana enters as a dominant favorite with a -35.5 point spread and a total points line of 52.5. Indiana showed strong home form last season and a balanced rushing attack, while Kennesaw State struggled offensively in their opener.
Key Factors to Consider
- Indiana won their season opener 27-14 showcasing a robust rushing game with 306 yards, led by Roman Hemby, and a solid defense that forced turnovers. Kennesaw State lost a low-scoring 10-9 game and struggled to generate offense.
- There is no significant recent head-to-head data due to differing division levels and limited history, although Indiana's superior FBS status gives them a clear advantage.
- Indiana is managing some secondary injuries but key offensive players are healthy. Kennesaw State has no notable injury concerns affecting their already challenged offense.
- The game is played at Indiana's Memorial Stadium, where they were undefeated at home last season, providing a strong home-field advantage. Weather and other external conditions are expected to be neutral.
- Indiana is motivated to maintain their perfect home record and start the season strong against an FCS opponent. Kennesaw State aims to rebound after a low-scoring loss but faces an uphill battle against a ranked FBS team.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -99900 | Indiana | β β β β β 92% |
Spread | -105 | Indiana -35.5 | β β β β β 85% |
Over/under | -108 | Under 52.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Home -7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 52.5 35% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Indiana to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -35.5 spread, and the game to go under 52.5 points.
Predicted Score: Indiana 48 – Kennesaw State 14