Match Analysis: Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Saskatchewan Roughriders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-14
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton, ON
Game Overview
The Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-0) travel to face the Hamilton Tiger-Cats (0-1) in a Week 2 CFL matchup. Both teams are looking to set a tone for the season, with Saskatchewan coming off a season-opening win and Hamilton seeking to rebound from a loss. Key positional battles include Saskatchewan's strong ground game against Hamilton's defensive front, and the performance of the Roughriders' defense against Hamilton's offensive line.
Key Factors to Consider
- Saskatchewan’s offense showed efficiency in their opener with Trevor Harris completing 19/26 passes for 277 yards and 2 TDs, with a strong running game led by Thomas Bertrand-Hudon (57 yards, 1 TD). Hamilton struggled in their opener and faces questions about offensive line protection for Bo Levi Mitchell.
- Recent form and season records favor Saskatchewan, who finished 9-8 last season versus Hamilton’s 7-11. Saskatchewan won their most recent matchup.
- Saskatchewan’s A.J. Ouellette is expected to play after clearing concussion protocol, and veteran Ka’Deem Carey has been added for depth. Both teams report no major new injuries affecting starters.
- Game will be played at Tim Hortons Field, a noted home advantage for Hamilton. No major weather concerns expected.
- Saskatchewan aims to build momentum on the road. Hamilton is motivated to bounce back after a disappointing season start.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Hamilton Tiger-Cats: +126, Saskatchewan Roughriders: -152 | Saskatchewan Roughriders (Away) win | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Spread | Hamilton Tiger-Cats: +2.5 -100, Saskatchewan Roughriders: -2.5 -122 | Saskatchewan Roughriders cover (-2.5) | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over: 51.5 -105, Under: 51.5 -115 | Under 51.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Saskatchewan Roughriders -4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 51.5 3% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Saskatchewan Roughriders are favored to win and cover the spread, leveraging their stronger defense and more consistent offensive production. The total is expected to stay under the current line due to Saskatchewan’s defensive strength and Hamilton’s offensive line struggles.
Predicted Score: Saskatchewan Roughriders 25 – Hamilton Tiger-Cats 20