Match Analysis: Georgia State Panthers vs Marshall Thundering Herd – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Center Parc Stadium
Game Overview
Marshall Thundering Herd (4-5) hosts Georgia State Panthers (1-8) in a Sun Belt matchup. Marshall is favored by 7.5 points with total set at 63.5. Georgia State struggles this season with a poor record and offensive/defensive metrics well below Marshall's.
Key Factors to Consider
- Marshall has a 4-5 record but shows stronger performance both offensively (32.9 PPG) and defensively (41 PA) compared to Georgia State's 21.1 PPG and 40.7 PA. Marshall also has a positive ATS record (6-3) whereas Georgia State is 1-8 overall.
- Limited recent head-to-head data; however, Marshall's stronger conference standing and home advantage at Center Parc Stadium favor them.
- No significant injury reports available for either team, indicating likely full-strength lineups.
- Game played at Georgia State's home stadium, but momentum and quality clearly favor Marshall. Weather and conditions are standard for mid-November in Atlanta, neutral to impact.
- Marshall, with a 4-5 record, aims to improve bowl eligibility chances, whereas Georgia State (1-8) has little to play for late in the season, reducing their incentive and competitiveness.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Georgia State Panthers: +250, Marshall Thundering Herd: -310 | Marshall Thundering Herd | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Georgia State Panthers +7.5: -110, Marshall Thundering Herd -7.5: -110 | Marshall Thundering Herd -7.5 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | Over 63.5: -110, Under 63.5: -110 | Over 63.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Marshall Thundering Herd -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 63.5 30% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 63.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Marshall Thundering Herd to win outright, cover the -7.5 spread, and game to go over 63.5 total points.
Predicted Score: Marshall 38 – Georgia State 24