Match Analysis: Florida State Seminoles vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, Florida
Game Overview
The Florida State Seminoles (3-4) host the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (5-2) in an ACC conference matchup. Florida State is favored by roughly 9.5 to 10 points at home with an over/under set at 51.5 points. Florida State is on a four-game losing streak, winless in conference play, while Wake Forest recently won three straight games, including a tight victory over SMU. Despite Seminolesβ struggles, they are heavily favored at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Florida State has been underperforming with a 3-4 record, losing their last four games and nine consecutive ACC games dating back to last year. Wake Forest is in better form with a 5-2 record and a three-game winning streak, showing resilience with a last-second win over SMU.
- Recent H2H data shows Florida State traditionally stronger, but current season momentum favors Wake Forest. Florida Stateβs losing streak in ACC games highlights challenges against conference opponents.
- No explicit injuries reported recently for either team, indicating both teams should be close to full strength.
- The game is at Florida Stateβs home stadium, offering a home-field advantage. Weather and other conditions appear neutral with no strong disruptors indicated.
- Florida State is highly motivated to break their losing streak and redeem their season at home. Wake Forest has momentum from recent wins and aims to continue their strong ACC performance.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Florida State Seminoles: -370, Wake Forest Demon Deacons: +295 | Florida State Seminoles | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | Florida State Seminoles: -9.5 -122, Wake Forest Demon Deacons: +9.5 100 | Florida State Seminoles -9.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over: 51.5 -110, Under: 51.5 -110 | Over 51.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Florida State Seminoles -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 51.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Florida State Seminoles to win on the moneyline and cover the 9.5-point spread with the game likely going over the 51.5 points total based on offensive capabilities.
Predicted Score: Florida State Seminoles 31, Wake Forest Demon Deacons 22