Match Analysis: Florida Atlantic Owls vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: Flagler Credit Union Stadium
Game Overview
Florida Atlantic Owls host Tulsa Golden Hurricane in a pivotal AAC matchup. Both teams are struggling, with FAU at 3-5 and Tulsa at 2-6. FAU is favored at home, but both sides have shown defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistent offensive production.
Key Factors to Consider
- FAU has covered the spread in 4 of 8 games, including both as 3.5+ point favorites. Tulsa has covered 4 of 8, but is 3-3 ATS as a 3.5+ point underdog. FAUβs offense is pass-heavy, while Tulsaβs defense ranks T25 in pass rush and top 35 in coverage. Tulsaβs last game was a 38-37 OT loss at home, FAU lost 42-32 on the road.
- FAU won the last meeting 63-16 at Tulsa. FAU has dominated recent H2H, with a 63-16 victory in their most recent matchup.
- No major injuries reported for either team.
- Game is in Boca Raton, FL, with 84Β°F, 0% rain, and light wind. Favorable conditions for offense.
- FAU is fighting for bowl eligibility and AAC relevance, while Tulsa is out of contention and may lack motivation. FAU is 2-3 in conference, Tulsa is 0-5.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -158, away: 134 | Florida Atlantic Owls | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | home: -3.5, away: 3.5 | Florida Atlantic Owls -3.5 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | over: 62.5, under: 62.5 | Over 62.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Florida Atlantic Owls 6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 62.5 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 62.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
FAU is the clear favorite and should cover the spread. Their offense is more consistent and Tulsaβs defense struggles against pass-heavy attacks. The total is high, but both teams have shown ability to score, and the weather favors offense.
Predicted Score: Florida Atlantic 34, Tulsa 30