Match Analysis: Florida Atlantic Owls vs Memphis Tigers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Flagler Credit Union Stadium, Boca Raton, Florida
Game Overview
The Memphis Tigers (4-0) travel to face the Florida Atlantic Owls (1-2) in an AAC matchup. Memphis enters as a heavy favorite with strong recent form and solid defensive metrics, while FAU struggles both on defense and overall record. The total points line is set quite high at 63.5, reflecting Memphisβ strong offensive output and high-scoring tendencies.
Key Factors to Consider
- Memphis is unbeaten at 4-0 with a balanced offense averaging over 236 rushing yards and scoring roughly 32 points per game. Defensively, Memphis allows only 16 points and 308 yards per game, showing strong resistance. Florida Atlantic is 1-2, scoring 30 points per game but allowing over 30 points as well, with inconsistency evident especially on defense.
- Last meeting in 2020 saw Memphis prevail 25-10. Memphis has generally dominated in recent matchups, indicating a clear upper hand historically.
- No significant injury reports are mentioned, implying both teams likely have their key players available.
- Game at Florida Atlanticβs home stadium could provide some edge, but minimal given Memphisβs superior talent and momentum. No adverse weather or other external disruptions noted.
- Memphis aims to maintain an undefeated start and assert conference dominance, while Florida Atlantic is motivated to avoid a 1-3 start and salvage their season momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Florida Atlantic +375, Memphis -500 | Memphis | β β β β β 85% |
Spread | Florida Atlantic +13.5 -110, Memphis -13.5 -110 | Memphis -13.5 | β β β β β 78% |
Over/under | Over 63.5 -110, Under 63.5 -110 | Under 63.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Memphis Tigers -4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 63.5 30% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 63.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Memphis Tigers to win straight up, cover the -13.5 spread, and the game to go under 63.5 points.
Predicted Score: Memphis 31 – Florida Atlantic 17