Match Analysis: Edmonton Elks vs Toronto Argonauts – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-16
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Commonwealth Stadium, Edmonton, AB
Game Overview
The Edmonton Elks (2-6) host the Toronto Argonauts (2-7) in a CFL matchup where Edmonton is a slight favorite at home. Toronto showed offensive firepower recently despite their poor record, losing narrowly 46-42 in their last game. Both teams struggle defensively, suggesting a potentially high-scoring game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Edmonton has a 2-6 record with modest recent form and slight home advantage. Toronto is 2-7 but has demonstrated offensive potency, with QB Nick Arbuckle posting strong recent performances. Both teams concede over 30 points on average.
- Recent H2H matchups favor Edmonton narrowly with home advantage but Toronto's close competitive games indicate volatility.
- No significant injuries reported to starting QBs; depth may be a concern but not a decisive factor currently.
- Game played at Edmontonβs Commonwealth Stadium, providing home field edge. Weather and other factors are typical for August with no major impact expected.
- Both teams are struggling this season, but Edmonton has slightly more motivation to defend home turf to improve playoff chances, while Toronto aims to upset and gain momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Edmonton: -152, Toronto: 126 | Edmonton Elks | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | Edmonton: -2.5 (-120), Toronto: +2.5 (-102) | Edmonton Elks -2.5 | β β β ββ 63% |
Over/under | Over: -110, Under: -110 | Over 53.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Edmonton Elks -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 53.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 53.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Edmonton Elks win. Spread: Edmonton Elks -2.5. Over/Under: Over 53.5 points.
Predicted Score: Edmonton Elks 30 – Toronto Argonauts 24