Match Analysis: Edmonton Elks vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-02
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Commonwealth Stadium, Edmonton
Game Overview
The Hamilton Tiger-Cats, currently on a five-game winning streak and boasting a strong offense led by Bo Levi Mitchell, face the struggling Edmonton Elks at home. Hamilton demonstrates superior recent form and offensive firepower, while Edmonton has struggled both straight up and against the spread this season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hamilton is 5-2 SU and 4-3 ATS with a potent offense averaging over 35 points per game in their winning streak. Edmonton is 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS and has been inconsistent offensively and defensively, with recent struggles evident in their 1-2 ATS record at home.
- This is the first 2025 season meeting between these teams; recent trends favor Hamilton's consistent road success with a 3-1 ATS record away.
- No major injury reports found, but Edmonton faces quarterback uncertainty between Cody Fajardo and Tre Ford, potentially impacting offensive rhythm.
- Edmonton's offensive line has been vulnerable, giving up 8 sacks last game, while Hamilton's pass rush is relatively mild with 10 sacks on the season, potentially giving Hamilton's offense an edge.
- Hamilton is heavily motivated to maintain their winning streak and continue dominating, while Edmonton needs a win to halt their skid, though the internal quarterback situation may dampen confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Edmonton 164, Hamilton -200 | Hamilton Tiger-Cats | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Edmonton +3.5 -105, Hamilton -3.5 -115 | Hamilton Tiger-Cats -3.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 54.5 -105, Under 54.5 -115 | Over 54.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Hamilton Tiger-Cats -12% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 54.5 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 54.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Hamilton Tiger-Cats to win straight up, cover the -3.5 spread, and the game to go over 54.5 points.
Predicted Score: Hamilton Tiger-Cats 28 – Edmonton Elks 22