Match Analysis: East Carolina Pirates vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-16
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Bagwell Field at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium, Greenville
Game Overview
East Carolina Pirates, with a 3-3 record, host the 2-4 Tulsa Golden Hurricane in a late night game. East Carolina is a strong favorite based on current lines and recent performance.
Key Factors to Consider
- East Carolina is 3-2 in their last 5 games and 4-1 ATS, showing recent consistency and strong cover ability. Tulsa has struggled to maintain winning form with a 2-4 record and hovering around underdog status.
- East Carolina has dominated recent ATS matchups, including a 2-0 record as a road dog against the spread, suggesting an advantage in execution and matchup preparation.
- No significant injury reports currently affecting key starters for either team, maintaining full strength on both sides.
- Temperature at kickoff is mild (56Β°F) with no rain expected and light wind, suggesting no weather disruptions. Playing at home benefits East Carolina.
- East Carolina is incentivized to build momentum in a balanced season with a home crowd advantage, while Tulsaβs underwhelming record suggests lower morale and pressure.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | East Carolina -770, Tulsa +540 | East Carolina | β β β β β 80% |
Spread | East Carolina -16.5 -110, Tulsa +16.5 -110 | East Carolina -16.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Over/under | Over 55.5 -105, Under 55.5 -115 | Under 55.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | East Carolina Pirates -7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 55.5 22% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 55.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
East Carolina will win convincingly, surpassing the 16.5-point spread, and the total points scored in the game will be under 55.5, reflecting East Carolina's strong defense and Tulsaβs offensive limitations.
Predicted Score: East Carolina 38 – Tulsa 17