Match Analysis: East Carolina Pirates vs Charlotte 49ers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: Bagwell Field at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium, Greenville, North Carolina
Game Overview
East Carolina Pirates (5-3, 3-1 AAC) host Charlotte 49ers (1-7, 0-5 AAC) in a pivotal AAC matchup. East Carolina is heavily favored, with Charlotte struggling defensively and offensively all season. The Pirates are coming off a dominant win, while Charlotte has allowed 49+ points in three of their last four games.
Key Factors to Consider
- East Carolina has won 5 of 8, averaging nearly 30 points per game and generating strong offensive yardage. Charlotte has lost 7 of 8, allowing over 800 yards in their last game and struggling in the red zone and on 3rd down. ECU is 4-1 ATS in their last 5, while Charlotte is 2-6 ATS.
- No recent H2H data available, but ECU is a clear favorite based on current form and conference standing.
- No major injuries reported for either team.
- Game is at ECU's home stadium, which is a significant advantage. Weather is favorable (73Β°F, 0% rain).
- East Carolina is fighting for a strong AAC finish and bowl eligibility. Charlotte is seeking its first conference win and is likely demoralized after a tough season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -10000, away: 2400 | East Carolina Pirates | β β β β β 97% |
| Spread | home: -28.5 -115, away: +28.5 -105 | East Carolina Pirates -28.5 | β β β β β 82% |
| Over/under | over: 55.5 -110, under: 55.5 -110 | Over 55.5 | β β β β β 74% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | East Carolina Pirates -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 55.5 41% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 55.5 at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
East Carolina will dominate both offensively and defensively, covering the spread and pushing the total over.
Predicted Score: East Carolina 45, Charlotte 14