Match Analysis: Duke Blue Devils vs Elon Phoenix - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-28
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Wallace Wade Stadium, Durham, NC
Game Overview
The Duke Blue Devils host the Elon Phoenix in the opening game of the 2025 NCAA football season. Duke is a heavy favorite, with a dominant defensive and offensive outlook expected, while Elon, under new quarterback leadership, seeks to build on late-season momentum from 2024 but faces a very challenging matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
- Duke has been extremely dominant recently and is heavily favored, reflecting strong overall team strength and confidence from bettors (100% bets on Duke moneyline). Elon finished 6-6 last season with a rough start but showed improvement late; however, they remain underdogs with uncertainty at quarterback.
- Recent historical data heavily favors Duke, who handed Elon a 26-3 loss at the start of 2024. Elon is 0-10 SU in its last 10 games overall, indicating struggles against comparable or better programs.
- No specific injury reports noted from current data, suggesting full or near-full rosters available for both teams.
- The game takes place in Durham with comfortable weather (73Β°F, 0% rain), neutralizing weather impacts. Public money is overwhelmingly on Duke for all markets.
- Duke aims to affirm top ACC status early and showcase strength, while Elon seeks to build confidence on a big stage but is likely at a motivational disadvantage given the heavy odds.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -20000 | Duke Blue Devils | β β β β β 95% |
Spread | -118 | Duke Blue Devils -33.5 | β β β β β 85% |
Over/under | -110 | Under 47.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Home -6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 47.5 34% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Duke Blue Devils to win decisive with a large margin, under the total points line reflecting offensive control but efficient game management.
Predicted Score: Duke 38 - Elon 7
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