Match Analysis: Delaware Blue Hens vs UConn Huskies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Delaware Stadium, Newark, Delaware
Game Overview
The Delaware Blue Hens (1-1) host the UConn Huskies (1-1) in a Week 3 College Football matchup. UConn enters as a strong favorite after a hard-fought loss to Syracuse, while Delaware seeks to bounce back from a heavy loss to Colorado. Both teams are evenly matched on record but show contrasting styles and recent performances.
Key Factors to Consider
- Delaware averages 21.0 points per game with decent passing (292.0 yards/game) and moderate rushing (110.5 yards/game). They struggled in their last game, losing 31-7 to Colorado, failing to score in the second half and having poor third-down conversion (2-10). UConn has a balanced attack as well, showing strong individual rushing and receiving stats but lost their last game narrowly to Syracuse 27-20. Quarterbacks Minicucci (Delaware) and Fagnano (UConn) have similar passing yardage and touchdown figures, indicating a potentially competitive offensive battle.
- Historically, UConn has the advantage as the favorite and typically performs better against Delaware on neutral or home grounds. Recent encounters indicate UConn's better defense and consistent offense marginally outperform Delaware.
- No specific major injuries reported impacting either team substantially for this game based on available data.
- Game is played at Delaware Stadium, giving Delaware the home-field advantage, although UConn is favored by the bookmakers. Weather forecasts or other external influences are not detailed but could affect line movement closer to kickoff.
- Both teams stand at 1-1 and look to improve their season record early, increasing the motivation for a confident performance. Delaware aims to defend home turf and regain momentum, while UConn looks to assert dominance and cover the spread as favorites.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Delaware Blue Hens: +300, UConn Huskies: -380 | UConn Huskies win | โ โ โ โ โ 75% |
| Spread | Delaware Blue Hens: +10 (-105), UConn Huskies: -10 (-115) | UConn Huskies cover -10 spread | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 52.5: -108, Under 52.5: -112 | Under 52.5 points | โ โ โ โโ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UConn Huskies -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 52.5 14% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UConn is favored to win with a moderate margin due to superior recent form and stronger odds. The prediction favors UConn covering the -10 spread with a final score estimate close, but trending towards a Husky victory.
Predicted Score: UConn Huskies 23 – Delaware Blue Hens 14