Match Analysis: Delaware Blue Hens vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: Delaware Blue Hens Home Stadium
Game Overview
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs enter as strong favorites versus Delaware Blue Hens, who have struggled on the season with a losing record and poor recent ATS performance. Louisiana Tech's stronger overall performance, combined with Delaware's key offensive injuries and inconsistent recent form, positions Louisiana Tech as the clear favorite.
Key Factors to Consider
- Delaware is 4-4 overall with a 50% win rate, averaging 29.25 points scored and conceding 32.13 per game. At home, Delaware averages 33.5 points scored but has defensive weaknesses. Louisiana Tech holds a stronger record and form, consistently covering significant spreads, while Delaware is 1-4 ATS in recent games and 5-15 SU over last 20 games.
- No prior head-to-head meetings between these teams.
- Delaware suffers from several key injuries on offense including WR Jay Wilkerson, WR Thomas Amankwaa, TE Connor Witthoft, and WR Jake Thaw, all with undisclosed conditions impacting offensive efficacy. Louisiana Tech is healthier with no significant reported injuries.
- Delaware plays at home but has a defense allowing above 28 points at home. Louisiana Tech carries momentum from recent wins and appears favored by sportsbooks and sharp money. Weather or travel factors do not notably affect the matchup.
- Louisiana Tech is motivated to solidify its standing in the conference and playoff contention, while Delawareβs motivation is tempered by a disappointing season, reflected in poor recent betting performance.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Delaware Blue Hens: +195, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: -238 | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Delaware Blue Hens +6: -108, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -6: -112 | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -6 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | Over 57.5: -105, Under 57.5: -115 | Over 57.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 57.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 57.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs to win Moneyline, cover -6 spread, and match an Over outcome
Predicted Score: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 34 – Delaware Blue Hens 23