Match Analysis: Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-14
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: AT&T Stadium
Game Overview
Week 2 NFL matchup between Dallas Cowboys and New York Giants, both teams entering with 0-1 records seeking early season momentum. Cowboys are home favorites by 4.5 points, with betting markets reflecting a competitive but Dallas-favored game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams lost their openers; Cowboys have failed to cover recent September spreads as favorites, while Giants have struggled ATS (2-11 last 13 games). Offensive output for both teams has been modest; Dallas showed stronger preseason form, but struggled to cover the spread last season.
- Historically, Dallas holds a strong advantage over New York, especially at home. Giants have shown resilience but inconsistent execution against Cowboys in recent meetings.
- Giants likely to miss key offensive tackle Andrew Thomas (doubtful with foot injury), potentially weakening pass protection. Cowboys have no major injury concerns reported.
- Game played at Cowboys' home stadium with favorable weather conditions (87Β°F, no rain), which should benefit Dallas's offensive game. No significant travel or scheduling disadvantages noted.
- Both teams motivated to avoid 0-2 starts; Giants facing tough next opponent (Chiefs), increasing urgency to rebound. Cowboys aim to build home dominance and cover after early season struggles.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Dallas Cowboys: -230, New York Giants: +190 | Dallas Cowboys | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Dallas Cowboys -4.5: -118, New York Giants +4.5: -102 | Dallas Cowboys -4.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 44.5: -110, Under 44.5: -110 | Under 44.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Dallas Cowboys -2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 44.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 44.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Dallas Cowboys to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -4.5 spread, and the total to go under 44.5 points.
Predicted Score: Dallas Cowboys 24, New York Giants 17