Match Analysis: Colorado State Rams vs UNLV Rebels – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 2:30 AM UTC
- Location: Sonny Lubick Field at Canvas Stadium, Fort Collins, Colorado
Game Overview
UNLV Rebels (6-2) visit Colorado State Rams (2-6) in a Mountain West matchup. UNLV enters after consecutive losses but remains the stronger team with superior recent form. Colorado State has struggled, including a recent 28-0 shutout loss.
Key Factors to Consider
- UNLV is 6-2 with recent setbacks including a 40-35 home loss to New Mexico. Colorado State is 2-6 with a recent shutout loss (28-0) to Wyoming, showing offensive struggles.
- Last meeting was a close 25-23 win for UNLV at home. Historically, UNLV has shown modest dominance over Colorado State.
- No major reported injuries that significantly alter team strength for either side.
- Colorado State plays at home but recent home form is poor. UNLV has performed well on the road this season with a strong ATS record.
- UNLV aims to rebound from back-to-back losses and climb Mountain West standings, while Colorado State is fighting to avoid a disastrous season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Colorado State +164, UNLV -198 | UNLV Rebels | β β β β β 76% |
| Spread | Colorado State +4.5 -112, UNLV -4.5 -108 | UNLV Rebels -4.5 | β β β β β 71% |
| Over/under | Over 61.5 -115, Under 61.5 -105 | Under 61.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UNLV Rebels -7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 61.5 9% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 61.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UNLV Rebels moneyline win, cover the -4.5 spread, and the game total goes under 61.5 points.
Predicted Score: UNLV Rebels 27 – Colorado State Rams 17