Match Analysis: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs Marshall Thundering Herd – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-30
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Brooks Stadium, Conway, SC
Game Overview
This Thursday night Sun Belt clash features two evenly matched teams, both standing at 4-3 in the 2025 season. Marshall travels as the favorite, but Coastal Carolina has home-field advantage and a recent offensive surge. The Thundering Herd boast a stronger running game and slightly better statistical rankings, while the Chanticleersโ defense has vulnerabilities, especially against the pass. Expect a competitive, potentially high-scoring affair as both teams look to solidify their bowl eligibility.
Key Factors to Consider
- Marshall averages 35.1 points per game (ranked 45th nationally) and has a balanced attack, ranking 30th in rushing (196.3 yds/game) but just 102nd in passing (192.4 yds/game). Defensively, Marshall allows 30.9 points per game (ranked 112th), with a pass defense that is particularly susceptible (130th)[4]. Coastal Carolina scores just 19.0 points per game (122nd), but is coming off a big 45-37 road win. They average 306.9 total yards per game (135.7 passing, 171.1 rushing) and allow 28.3 points per game (93rd), with notable struggles against the run (180.3 yds/game allowed)[3].
- No recent direct head-to-head data is available in the provided sources, but Marshall is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games against Sun Belt opponents, showing strong conference form[7]. Marshall is also 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games overall, indicating recent betting value[7].
- No injury data is available for either team in the provided sources[5].
- Game time temperature is expected to be around 58ยฐF and cloudy, which should not significantly impact play[8]. Both teams are fighting for bowl eligibility and conference standing, adding pressure to perform.
- Both teams are .500 and in the thick of the Sun Belt race. Marshallโs recent strong ATS and SU trends against conference foes suggest confidence, while Coastal Carolina is coming off a high-scoring win and will look to capitalize on home momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers +164, Marshall Thundering Herd -196 | Marshall Thundering Herd moneyline | โ โ โ โ โ 70% |
| Spread | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers +5.5 (-115), Marshall Thundering Herd -5.5 (-105) | Marshall Thundering Herd -5.5 | โ โ โ โโ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 53.5 (-114), Under 53.5 (-106) | Over 53.5 | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Marshall Thundering Herd -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 53.5 22% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Over 53.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Marshallโs superior offense, especially on the ground, and Coastal Carolinaโs defensive vulnerabilities point to a Thundering Herd victory, but expect a close, competitive game with both teams scoring. Marshallโs recent ATS and SU success in the Sun Belt, plus their higher-scoring offense, gives them the edge, but Coastalโs home field and recent offensive outburst suggest they could keep it within a score. The over is also appealing given both teamsโ defensive issues and recent scoring trends.
Predicted Score: Marshall 34, Coastal Carolina 27