Match Analysis: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs East Carolina Pirates – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Brooks Stadium, Conway, South Carolina
Game Overview
The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (1-1) host the East Carolina Pirates (1-1) in a pivotal Week 3 college football matchup. East Carolina enters as a strong favorite with a recent dominant 56-3 win over Campbell, showing efficient offense and stout defense. Coastal Carolina, coming off a solid 13-0 win but struggling offensively with zero passing touchdowns and four interceptions over two games, is viewed as the underdog at home. The total points line is set relatively high at 56.5, reflecting the potential for an offensively productive game given East Carolina's scoring capability.
Key Factors to Consider
- East Carolina has shown a balanced and effective offense led by QB Katin Houser with 680 passing yards, 3 TDs, and no interceptions, complemented by a solid running game averaging 101 yards per game. Their defense allows only 13.5 points per game. Coastal Carolina's offense has faltered with poor quarterback play evident in high interception rates and no passing touchdowns, though their defense managed a shutout against Charleston Southern. East Carolina's recent 56-3 blowout contrasts Coastal Carolinaโs lower scoring win, indicating a performance gap.
- East Carolina has generally held an edge in recent matchups, as indicated by the current spread favoring East Carolina by 7.5 points. The home advantage for Coastal Carolina is a factor, but East Carolinaโs stronger recent form and statistical profile favors them.
- No specific injury reports are provided in the data, suggesting relatively healthy rosters for both teams entering the game.
- The game at Brooks Stadium implicates travel for East Carolina, but their previous performances on the road and strong showing suggest limited negative impact. The game is televised on ESPN+ under evening conditions, which may favor disciplined and well-prepared teams.
- East Carolina seeks to build on a recent dominant victory and establish momentum early in the season. Coastal Carolina aims to prove resilience at home and overcome offensive struggles. East Carolinaโs previous cover struggles as favorites hint at possible competitive resistance from Coastal Carolina despite predictions.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: +235, East Carolina Pirates: -290 | East Carolina Pirates | โ โ โ โ โ 80% |
| Spread | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers +7.5: -115, East Carolina Pirates -7.5: -105 | East Carolina Pirates -7.5 | โ โ โ โ โ 75% |
| Over/under | Over 56.5: -108, Under 56.5: -112 | Under 56.5 | โ โ โ โโ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | East Carolina Pirates -13% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 56.5 14% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Under 56.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
East Carolina is predicted to win the game, covering the 7.5 point spread with a solid defensive and offensive display expected to limit Coastal Carolinaโs scoring, culminating in a final score around 31-17.
Predicted Score: East Carolina 31 – Coastal Carolina 17