Match Analysis: Clemson Tigers vs Furman Paladins – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 9:30 PM UTC
- Location: Memorial Stadium, Clemson, SC
Game Overview
The Clemson Tigers (5-5) host the Furman Paladins (6-5) in a late season NCAAF matchup at Memorial Stadium. Clemson has struggled recently with a 2-3 record in their last 5 games and a poor 1-4 record against the spread, while Furman holds a slight edge at 6-5 but has gone 0-5 straight up in their last 5 games. The game is expected to be a challenge for Clemson, who are heavy favorites with a -41.5 point spread. Total points over/under is set at 54.5, reflecting moderate expectations for scoring.
Key Factors to Consider
- Clemson's offense averages 27.1 points per game with a defense allowing 22.1 points, showing a moderate positive differential. Clemson has been inconsistent, going 2-3 in recent games and struggling against the spread overall. Furman has been more effective ATS with a 10-4-1 record recently but has lost its last five games outright, indicating recent offensive or defensive struggles.
- There are no direct recent head-to-head statistics available for this matchup, but Clemson historically being a Power 5 team generally has the advantage. Furman's recent ATS success indicates they can cover even if losing.
- No significant injury reports found for either team that would notably impact the game's outcome.
- Weather at Memorial Stadium is projected to be 74°F with a slight 10 mph wind and 0-4% chance of rain, which should not impede gameplay.
- Clemson, at .500, will be eager to assert dominance at home against a struggling Furman to finish the season strong. Furman aims to upset a Power 5 program to gain momentum despite their recent losses.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Clemson: -110, Furman: +41.5 -110 | Clemson to win | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | Clemson -41.5 -110, Furman +41.5 -110 | Clemson to cover -41.5 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | Over 54.5 -110, Under 54.5 -110 | Over 54.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 54.5 24% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 54.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Clemson is strongly favored to win comfortably at home, likely covering the large -41.5 spread due to their stronger offensive and defensive metrics despite recent inconsistencies. A moderately high scoring game over the 54.5 total is probable given Clemson's offensive projects and recent overs in 3 of 5 games.
Predicted Score: Clemson Tigers 42 – Furman Paladins 14
