Match Analysis: Clemson Tigers vs Duke Blue Devils – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Memorial Stadium, Clemson, SC
Game Overview
The Clemson Tigers (3-4) face the Duke Blue Devils (4-3) in a closely matched ACC game at Clemson's home stadium, with Clemson favored by 3.5 points. Both teams present strong passing attacks, with Duke ranking 4th nationally in passing yards and Clemson 22nd. Clemson's recent form is disappointing after a loss to SMU at home, while Duke is coming off a loss to Georgia Tech but has shown momentum with wins over quality opponents.
Key Factors to Consider
- Clemson has struggled this season with a 3-4 record but remains dangerous at home. Duke holds a 4-3 record, with strong recent wins and a high-powered passing offense. Clemson gave up 35 points last game, while Duke allowed 27 in their last outing.
- Historically, Clemson has dominated the series, especially at home, but recent competitiveness from Duke suggests a closer matchup this year.
- No significant key injuries reported for either side that could drastically affect the matchup.
- The game is played at Clemsonβs Death Valley, a venue known to favor the home team due to atmosphere and travel challenges for visitors.
- Clemson is motivated to avoid a losing season and keep bowl prospects alive, while Duke aims to build on momentum to solidify a winning record.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Clemson -164, Duke +138 | Clemson | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Clemson -3.5 -110, Duke +3.5 -110 | Clemson -3.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 54.5 -105, Under 54.5 -115 | Under 54.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Clemson Tigers -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 54.5 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 54.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Clemson moneyline
Predicted Score: Clemson 28 – Duke 20