Match Analysis: Cincinnati Bearcats vs Iowa State Cyclones – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-04
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Nippert Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio
Game Overview
Highly competitive Big 12 matchup between the 5-0 No. 14 Iowa State Cyclones and 3-1 Cincinnati Bearcats, showcasing a clash between a top-20 scoring defense (Iowa State) and a top-20 scoring offense (Cincinnati). Cincinnati is a narrow 1.5-point favorite playing at home with a total set near 54.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Iowa State is undefeated (5-0) with a stout defense ranked 18th in scoring defense, while Cincinnati (3-1) boasts a prolific offense ranked 16th nationally and is coming off a close 37-34 win over Kansas.
- Limited recent direct matchups; both programs have traded competitiveness in the Big 12, with no clear dominance. The spread and moneyline odds indicate a near evenly matched game with a slight home edge to Cincinnati.
- No major injury reports disclosed that significantly alter starting lineups or key positional impacts for either team.
- Game played at home for Cincinnati provides slight environmental advantage. Both teams are motivated to maintain strong starts in the Big 12 conference and improve national rankings.
- Iowa State aims to remain undefeated and continue momentum in conference play; Cincinnati seeks to leverage home advantage to even its record and prove itself against top competition.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -118, away: -102 | Cincinnati Bearcats | β β β ββ 63% |
Spread | Cincinnati -1.5: -108, Iowa State +1.5: -112 | Cincinnati -1.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Over/under | over: -115, under: -105 | Under 54.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Cincinnati Bearcats 3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 54.5 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 54.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Cincinnati Bearcats to win; Spread: Cincinnati -1.5; Over/Under: Under 54.5
Predicted Score: Cincinnati 27 – Iowa State 24