Match Analysis: Chicago Bears vs New York Giants – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Soldier Field, Chicago
Game Overview
The Chicago Bears (5-3), coming off a high-scoring road win, host the struggling New York Giants (2-7), who have lost three straight. The Bears are favored by 4.5 points with a total set around 46.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Bears possess a more balanced and effective offense and a defense capable of generating pressure, shown in their recent 47-42 win vs. Cincinnati. The Giants have struggled offensively and defensively, losing three consecutive games and scoring under 25 points in most recent outings.
- Last meeting in 2022 was won by the Giants 20-12 at home, but the Bears have improved significantly since and hold home-field advantage. Overall, recent H2H favors Chicago due to their better current season form.
- No major injuries reported to key offensive or defensive players for either team that would significantly shift game dynamics.
- The game is at Soldier Field where Bears have a strong home advantage. Weather is expected to be neutral and should not affect gameplay.
- Bears seek to maintain playoff positioning and recover from a narrow loss in recent weeks; the Giants are desperate to snap a losing streak but low morale persists. Bears display higher motivation and confidence.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chicago Bears -218, New York Giants +180 | Chicago Bears | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Chicago Bears -4.5 -110, New York Giants +4.5 -110 | Chicago Bears -4.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 46.5 -108, Under 46.5 -112 | Over 46.5 | β β β ββ 63% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chicago Bears 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 46.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Chicago Bears to win outright on the moneyline, cover the 4.5-point spread, and the total points to go over 46.5.
Predicted Score: Chicago Bears 28 – New York Giants 21