Match Analysis: Charlotte 49ers vs UTSA Roadrunners – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Jerry Richardson Stadium
Game Overview
The UTSA Roadrunners (4-5) visit the Charlotte 49ers (1-8) in an American Athletic Conference matchup where UTSA is a heavy favorite. UTSA aims to regain momentum late in the season, while Charlotte struggles for its first conference win.
Key Factors to Consider
- UTSA has a 4-5 record but shows stronger offensive firepower and defensive capabilities compared to the 1-8 Charlotte 49ers. Charlotte's defense has vulnerabilities, especially against the pass, and they have struggled both overall and against the spread. UTSAβs road performance is weaker (1-4 ATS), though their talent level remains superior.
- Recent meetings tend to favor UTSA comfortably, with the Roadrunners often winning by double-digit margins. The matchups historically show totals leaning under, due to defensive tendencies, but UTSA's offensive ability and Charlotteβs defensive frailties suggest a possible high-scoring game this time.
- Charlotte is dealing with multiple injuries affecting key offensive players, including WR Willie McCoy III, TE Grant Laskey, and RB Henry Rutledge, limiting their offensive potential. UTSAβs injury report is lighter comparatively, preserving their more complete roster.
- Home-field advantage for Charlotte exists but is muted by their poor recent form and roster challenges. Weather conditions are mild (69Β°F, no rain), unlikely to influence play significantly. Public betting heavily favors Charlotte ATS (72%), possibly indicating sharp money on UTSA.
- UTSA seeks to build late-season momentum and improve from road inconsistencies, while Charlotte fights to avoid a winless conference campaign. UTSAβs higher motivation to rebound is a crucial edge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: +750, away: -1200 | UTSA Roadrunners | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | home: +18.5 -110, away: -18.5 -110 | UTSA to cover -18.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | over: 59.5 -110, under: 59.5 -110 | Over 59.5 points | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UTSA Roadrunners -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 59.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 59.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UTSA to win straight up on the moneyline
Predicted Score: UTSA 42 – Charlotte 17