Match Analysis: Calgary Stampeders vs Ottawa Redblacks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-21
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: McMahon Stadium, Calgary, AB
Game Overview
The Calgary Stampeders host the Ottawa Redblacks in a Week 3 CFL matchup. Calgary has started the season strong with a 2-0 record both straight up and against the spread, showcasing balanced offensive and opportunistic defensive play. Ottawa enters the game winless at 0-2 and has struggled against the spread as well. Ottawa's normal starting quarterback is expected to play, but there are concerns about his physical condition. The game is anticipated to be controlled by Calgary, with a modest scoring pace around 45 points total.
Key Factors to Consider
- Calgary Stampeders have a perfect start, 2-0 straight up and ATS, showing both strong offense and defense. Ottawa Redblacks are 0-2 straight up and against the spread, with their games tending to go over the total points line.
- Recent data implies Calgary has the upper hand, reflected in their strong start and favored status in betting markets. Ottawa has yet to secure a win in 2025 and has struggled in previous encounters.
- Ottawa's starting quarterback is expected to start but may not be at full physical capacity, potentially limiting offensive effectiveness. No major injuries reported for Calgary.
- The game is played in Calgary's home stadium, giving them home-field advantage. Broadcast coverage is widely available on TSN and other networks, ensuring high visibility. Weather or other external adverse conditions are not mentioned.
- Calgary aims to continue its undefeated start and maintain momentum. Ottawa is motivated to get their first win but faces challenges due to recent form and injury concerns.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Calgary Stampeders: -110, Ottawa Redblacks: -110 | Calgary Stampeders to win | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Spread | Calgary Stampeders: 1.5 -122, Ottawa Redblacks: -1.5 100 | Calgary Stampeders to cover +1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over: 51.5 -105, Under: 51.5 -115 | Under 51.5 points | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Calgary Stampeders 30% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 51.5 12% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Calgary Stampeders at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Calgary Stampeders are predicted to win with a clear advantage, likely covering the spread. The total points are expected to stay just under the 51.5 line due to Calgary's balanced and controlled approach and Ottawa's injury concerns.
Predicted Score: Calgary Stampeders 28 – Ottawa Redblacks 17