Match Analysis: BYU Cougars vs Utah Utes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: LaVell Edwards Stadium, Provo, UT
Game Overview
The Utah Utes are favored on the road against the BYU Cougars in a heated rivalry matchup with a close spread and moderately high total points line.
Key Factors to Consider
- Utah shows consistent strength as favorites with a slightly better overall record, but BYU's offense is particularly explosive on the ground, generating higher EPA. BYU has a notably better tackling grade according to PFF metrics.
- Historically close rivalry with Utah favored slightly, but BYU often performs well at home, making this matchup competitive.
- No major injuries reported for either side that would significantly sway the game outcome.
- Game played at BYU's home stadium which boosts BYU's motivation and performance; televised on FOX increasing exposure and pressure.
- BYU as home underdogs motivated to upset rival Utah; Utah motivated to maintain superiority and cover the spread on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | BYU Cougars: +140, Utah Utes: -166 | Utah Utes | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | BYU Cougars +3.5: -118, Utah Utes -3.5: -102 | BYU Cougars +3.5 | β β β ββ 63% |
Over/under | Over 49.5: -105, Under 49.5: -115 | Under 49.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Utah Utes -7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 49.5 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Utah Utes win; Spread: BYU Cougars +3.5; Over/Under: Under 49.5 points
Predicted Score: Utah Utes 24 – BYU Cougars 21