Match Analysis: BYU Cougars vs Stanford Cardinal – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-07
- Time: 2:15 AM UTC
- Location: LaVell Edwards Stadium, Provo, UT
Game Overview
The 2025 NCAAF matchup features the BYU Cougars hosting the Stanford Cardinal. BYU boasts a top-tier offense ranked 5th nationally in yards per game with 606.0, while Stanford's defense allows 306.0 yards per game, ranking 62nd. Historically, Stanford leads the series 2-1, but BYU won the last meeting in 2022 by 9 points. The game is expected to be skewed towards BYU's strong offensive capabilities against a middling Stanford defense.
Key Factors to Consider
- BYU's offense is prolific, ranking fifth nationally with 606 yards per game. Stanford has an average defense allowing 306 yards/game but struggles against high-powered offenses. BYU's defense and Stanford's offense metrics are less prominent, suggesting a potential mismatch favoring BYU.
- Stanford leads the historical series 2-1, but BYU won the most recent encounter in 2022 by 35-26. Previous largest margin was a 27-point Stanford win in 2004. Win streaks are short, with BYU currently on a 1-game winning streak in the rivalry.
- No specific injury reports have been found in available sources for either team leading into this game.
- The game is at BYU's home stadium, which can provide a significant home-field advantage. BYU's offense thrives in their home environment, and Stanford must travel across time zones.
- BYU is highly motivated to start the season strong with a dominant performance at home. Stanford aims to prove itself against a nationally ranked offense but may be at a motivational disadvantage given recent results and underdog status.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | BYU Cougars: -1450, Stanford Cardinal: 810 | BYU Cougars win | โ โ โ โ โ 94% |
| Spread | BYU Cougars: -20.5 -110, Stanford Cardinal: +20.5 -110 | BYU covers the spread | โ โ โ โ โ 85% |
| Over/under | Over: 45.5 -110, Under: 45.5 -110 | Under 45.5 points | โ โ โ โโ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | BYU Cougars -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 45.5 15% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
BYU is strongly favored to win convincingly due to their high-powered offense and home-field advantage. The predicted final score and confidence reflect a dominant BYU performance.
Predicted Score: 39-14 BYU Cougars