Match Analysis: Buffalo Bulls vs UConn Huskies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: UB Stadium, Buffalo, New York
Game Overview
The Buffalo Bulls (2-2) host the UConn Huskies (2-2) in a closely matched American football NCAAF contest. UConn is favored by 3.5 points according to bookmakers. Both teams have identical recent records, and motivations are mixed as both seek to improve their standing early in the season. The total points line is set near 48.5, reflecting expectations of a moderately high scoring game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams hold 2-2 records. Buffalo lost their last game narrowly (21-17 to Troy) while UConn won their last match against Ball State 31-25. Buffalo shows mixed performance at home but has been competitive; UConn had momentum with the recent win and are slight favorites.
- Historical H2H data is limited or balanced, with no dominant trend. Recent matches between these teams have been competitive, often decided by small margins.
- No significant injuries reported that drastically affect either team's lineup, maintaining overall strength and depth.
- Game played at Buffalo with mild weather (75Β°F, no rain, light wind), neutral concerning weather influence. Buffalo has home crowd advantage, but UConn enters as betting favorite.
- Both teams motivated to improve to .500 or better. UConnβs slight edge in recent win and betting status as favorite suggests higher confidence, while Buffalo will rely on home advantage to rebound.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Buffalo Bulls: +136, UConn Huskies: -162 | UConn Huskies | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | Buffalo Bulls +3.5: -115, UConn Huskies -3.5: -105 | Buffalo Bulls +3.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Over/under | Over 48.5: -115, Under 48.5: -105 | Over 48.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | UConn Huskies -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 48.5 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UConn Huskies to win on the moneyline; Buffalo Bulls to cover the spread; Over 48.5 total points
Predicted Score: UConn Huskies 27 – Buffalo Bulls 24