Match Analysis: Buffalo Bulls vs Troy Trojans – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: UB Stadium, Buffalo, New York
Game Overview
The Buffalo Bulls (2-1) host the Troy Trojans (1-2) in a matchup where Buffalo is favored by 6.5 points. Buffalo has shown stronger recent form with a close win over Kent State, while Troy has struggled offensively with two recent losses and only 7 points scored in the last game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Buffalo enters with momentum after a 31-28 win over Kent State. Troy has a struggling offense averaging under 100 yards passing recently, with a 7-point output last game against Memphis.
- No recent detailed head-to-head stats found, but Buffalo's overall stronger form and home field advantage are significant.
- No major injuries reported that would impact key Buffalo or Troy players significantly.
- Buffalo playing at home in UB Stadium with ESPN+ TV coverage, which may boost motivation. Weather and other logistical factors appear standard.
- Buffalo 2-1 record and recent win provides confidence and home crowd motivation. Troy's need to rebound from two straight losses adds pressure but also urgency.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Buffalo: -238, Troy: +195 | Buffalo Bulls | β β β β β 74% |
Spread | Buffalo: -6.5 -110, Troy: +6.5 -110 | Buffalo Bulls -6.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over: 42.5 -110, Under: 42.5 -110 | Under 42.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Buffalo Bulls 1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 42.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 42.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Buffalo Bulls to win straight up, cover the 6.5 spread, and the game total to go under 42.5 points.
Predicted Score: Buffalo Bulls 28 – Troy Trojans 14