Match Analysis: Buffalo Bulls vs St. Francis (PA) Red Flash – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-06
- Time: 7:35 PM UTC
- Location: UB Stadium
Game Overview
Buffalo Bulls host St. Francis (PA) Red Flash in a Week 2 NCAAF matchup. Buffalo, favored heavily by oddsmakers, appears dominant on paper with a large spread. Both teams come off a 0-1 start.
Key Factors to Consider
- Buffalo has a strong recent ATS and SU record (5-1 in last 6 games), often covering large spreads. St. Francis (PA) is less competitive and weaker overall, reflected in the large spread and Buffalo's historical dominance.
- Limited recent H2H data shows Buffalo generally outperforming St. Francis (PA) comfortably, rarely challenged by the underdog.
- No significant key injuries reported for Buffalo, while St. Francis (PA) lacks impact players to change the dynamic.
- Game at Buffalo's home stadium, favorable weather (66°F, no rain), and stable conditions support Buffalo's advantage.
- Buffalo motivated to rebound from opening loss and maintain dominance. St. Francis (PA) likely outmatched and less motivated given odds and recent performance.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -20000 | Buffalo Bulls | ★★★★★ 90% |
| Spread | -115 | Buffalo Bulls -36.5 | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Over/under | -110 | Over 50.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 50.5 24% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Buffalo Bulls to win outright, cover the 36.5 spread, and the total points to go over 50.5
Predicted Score: Buffalo Bulls 49 – St. Francis (PA) Red Flash 13
