Match Analysis: Boise State Broncos vs UNLV Rebels – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: October 18, 2025
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Albertsons Stadium
Game Overview
Boise State faces UNLV in a crucial Mountain West matchup. Boise State has a strong home record, while UNLV is undefeated but faces a tough test as an underdog.
Key Factors to Consider
- Boise State has won 14 consecutive conference games, while UNLV has a 6-0 record but has struggled as an October underdog historically. UNLV recently beat Air Force 51-48.
- Boise State has won all four recent head-to-head meetings, including a 21-7 victory in their last matchup.
- No significant injury reports available.
- Motivation could be higher for UNLV to prove themselves against a formidable opponent.
- UNLV is highly motivated to end their losing streak against Boise State.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -500 / 380 | Boise State | β β β β β 82% |
Spread | -12.5 -115 / 12.5 -105 | Boise State -12.5 | β β β β β 74% |
Over/under | 61.5 -112 / 61.5 -108 | Under 61.5 | β β β β β 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Boise State Broncos 2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 61.5 39% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 61.5 at 39% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The matchup is expected to be competitive, but Boise State's home advantage and recent success against UNLV are significant factors.
Predicted Score: Boise State 31, UNLV 17