Match Analysis: BC Lions vs Montreal Alouettes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-16
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: BC Place, Vancouver, BC
Game Overview
The BC Lions (4-5) host the Montreal Alouettes (5-4) in a close CFL matchup. BC Lions are slight favorites with a moneyline of -300 and a spread of -6.5 points. The Over/Under is set at 51.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- BC Lions have a 4-5 record with mixed performance offensively and defensively, showing inconsistency and leaving doubts about defense. Montreal Alouettes are 5-4 and recently lost a close game 23-22. Both teams have similar ATS records (4-5).
- Recent H2H shows BC Lions have a slight edge but matches tend to be close, with both teams capable of covering spreads.
- No major injury reports given, but Montrealβs quarterback situation is described as less than ideal, contributing to their offensive uncertainty.
- Game played at BC Place in Vancouver gives BC Lions home-field advantage. Broadcast on TSN increases visibility and motivation.
- Montreal seeks to rebound from a narrow loss, while BC aims to solidify their standing with a home win.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | BC Lions: -300, Montreal Alouettes: 240 | BC Lions | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | BC Lions -6.5: -118, Montreal Alouettes +6.5: -104 | Montreal Alouettes +6.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Over/under | Over 51.5: -105, Under 51.5: -115 | Over 51.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | BC Lions -17% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 51.5 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: BC Lions win; Spread: Montreal Alouettes +6.5 covers; Over/Under: Over 51.5 points
Predicted Score: BC Lions 30 – Montreal Alouettes 26