Match Analysis: BC Lions vs Calgary Stampeders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 9:35 PM UTC
- Location: BC Place Stadium, Vancouver
Game Overview
West Division playoff semifinal between BC Lions and Calgary Stampeders, two teams both finishing the regular season 11-7 but with BC holding the tiebreaker. BC enters on a six-game win streak and home-field in a closed dome, while Calgary has momentum from three straight wins.
Key Factors to Consider
- BC Lions have surged late in the season with an 8-2 run including a six-game win streak, showing strong offense (most points scored in CFL at 559) and home dominance. Calgary recovered after a slow start to finish with three straight wins but could not overcome BC in head-to-head or standings.
- BC Lions have been dominant against Calgary in 2025, with Calgary struggling to contain BC's explosive offense and ground attack, including turnovers caused by Calgary's defense.
- No significant injury reports affecting starting quarterbacks or key skill players for either team have been highlighted, giving both teams close to full strength.
- Playing in BC Place, a closed dome stadium, neutralizes weather concerns, favoring the home teamβs fast-paced offense.
- BC Lions have strong motivation to capitalize on their momentum and home advantage to break through to the division final. Calgary seeks redemption after losing the tiebreaker and finishing behind BC.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | BC Lions -250, Calgary Stampeders +202 | BC Lions | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | BC Lions -4.5 -122, Calgary Stampeders +4.5 +100 | BC Lions -4.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 54.5 -112, Under 54.5 -108 | Over 54.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | BC Lions -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 54.5 14% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 54.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
BC Lions moneyline win; BC Lions to cover -4.5 spread; game total to go over 54.5 points
Predicted Score: BC Lions 31 – Calgary Stampeders 24