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Baylor Bears vs. Samford Bulldogs Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Baylor Bears vs Samford Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: McLane Stadium, Waco, Texas

Game Overview

The Baylor Bears host the Samford Bulldogs in an early-season non-conference NCAA football matchup. Baylor enters with a 1-1 record, showing a stronger overall profile, while Samford is struggling at 0-2 with two heavy losses. The game projects a large point spread due to Baylor's superior talent and competition level.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Baylor Bears have shown solid performance and resilience in their first two games, including a win, while Samford Bulldogs have been outmatched on both sides of the ball, suffering two blowout losses (34-3, 40-13) with offensive struggles and defensive lapses against comparable or lesser opponents.
  • Limited recent head-to-head data available given differing conferences and schedules, but general historical trends favor mid-major teams like Samford significantly trailing Power 5 programs like Baylor.
  • No major injury news reported for Baylor, while Samford’s key offensive players such as QB Quincy Crittendon have underperformed but remain active. No significant injuries expected to swing momentum.
  • The home field advantage at McLane Stadium strongly benefits Baylor. Weather and travel conditions impose no known adverse effects. Baylor carries home crowd support and familiarity with higher-quality resources and facilities.
  • Baylor motivated to establish their season with a dominant win after splitting early games, while Samford aims to end a tough losing streak but faces a daunting challenge escalating from losses against lesser teams.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -300 Baylor Bears ★★★★★ 90%
Spread -110 Baylor Bears -46.5 ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under -110 Over 58.5 ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 58.5 34%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 58.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Baylor Bears to win decisively, covering the large spread, with over 58.5 total points likely given Samford's porous defense and Baylor's offensive capabilities.

Predicted Score: Baylor Bears 56 – Samford Bulldogs 17


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Baylor Bears vs. Samford Bulldogs Prediction

Match Analysis: Baylor Bears vs Samford Bulldogs – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-09-13 Time: 4:00 PM UTC Location: McLane Stadium, Waco, Texas Game Overview The Baylor Bears host the Samford Bulldogs in an early-season non-conference NCAA football matchup. Baylor enters with a 1-1 record, showing a stronger overall profile, while Samford is struggling at 0-2 […]

American Football Baylor Bears Samford Bulldogs September 13, 2025

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Missouri Tigers vs. Louisiana Ragin Cajuns Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Missouri Tigers vs Louisiana Ragin Cajuns – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field, Columbia, Missouri

Game Overview

Missouri Tigers, currently ranked No. 25 and undefeated at 2-0, host the Louisiana Ragin Cajuns, who hold a 1-1 record. Missouri’s strong offense and defense, combined with home-field advantage and recent dominating performances, make them heavy favorites. Louisiana has shown some offensive potential but lacks experience against Power Five opponents like Missouri.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Missouri has displayed balanced offensive efficiency and a stout defense, winning their last game 42-31. Louisiana managed a solid 34-10 win recently but against a weaker opponent; their defense is likely to struggle against Missouri’s multi-faceted attack.
  • Missouri has historically dominated this matchup, with Louisiana rarely competing closely especially when Missouri is home and in form.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team that would impact the game.
  • Missouri’s home venue at Faurot Field is known for a strong home advantage with vocal support, creating a challenging environment for visiting teams.
  • Missouri aims to stay undefeated and build momentum for the season ahead, while Louisiana faces a tough road challenge that may dampen their motivation given the disparity in talent and ranking.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline missouri: -4500, louisiana: +1700 Missouri Tigers ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread missouri: -27.5 -102, louisiana: +27.5 -118 Missouri Tigers -27.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under over: 47.5 -108, under: 47.5 -112 Over 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Missouri Tigers -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 47.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Missouri Tigers to win decisively and cover the large spread, with the game projecting an above-average total score given Missouri’s offensive firepower.

Predicted Score: Missouri 44 – Louisiana 7


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Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Iowa State Cyclones Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Iowa State Cyclones – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Centennial Bank Stadium, Jonesboro, Arkansas

Game Overview

Iowa State Cyclones enter as heavy favorites against Arkansas State Red Wolves, who have shown inconsistencies early in the season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Iowa State is undefeated at 3-0, with a strong defensive showing allowing 20.5 points per game, and a balanced offense led by QB Rocco Becht. Arkansas State is 1-1, recently suffering a heavy loss (56-14) to Arkansas Razorbacks.
  • Recent head-to-head data is limited; Iowa State's higher ranking and confidence from recent wins against quality opponents gives them a strong mental edge.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team that would majorly affect game outcome.
  • Game played at Arkansas State’s home venue with 92°F and no rain, which may slightly favor the home team, but likely minimal impact given Iowa State’s form.
  • Iowa State, ranked No. 14, motivated to maintain unbeaten streak and build momentum for tougher upcoming matches; Arkansas State aims to bounce back but faces steep odds.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +850, away: -1450 Iowa State Cyclones ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread home: -105, away: -115 Iowa State -20.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over: -112, under: -108 Under 55.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Iowa State Cyclones -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 55.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 55.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Iowa State to win, cover the spread, and the total points to go under 55.5

Predicted Score: Iowa State thirty-four – Arkansas State eleven


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Michigan State Spartans vs. Youngstown St Penguins Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Michigan State Spartans vs Youngstown St Penguins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI

Game Overview

This Week 3 NCAAF game features the undefeated Michigan State Spartans hosting the also undefeated Youngstown State Penguins. Michigan State is a strong FBS program while Youngstown State is a solid FCS team, making this a classic mismatch on paper.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Michigan State is 2-0 with solid overall team strength but recent ATS form is mixed (1-4 ATS last 5). Youngstown State is 2-0 with dominant wins at FCS level, notably a 56-17 blowout in their last game. Michigan State has superior talent but has struggled to cover big spreads recently.
  • No recent notable head-to-head games between these teams as they belong to different divisions, so no H2H trends are relevant.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team ahead of kickoff, suggesting full strength squads.
  • Weather is clear and favorable (mid 70s, no rain), and the game is at Michigan State’s home stadium, which provides a strong home-field advantage.
  • Both teams are undefeated early in the season and motivated to keep perfect records, though Michigan State faces pressure to dominate a lower-tier FCS opponent, possibly influencing conservative game management.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Michigan State: -2500, Youngstown State: +1100 Michigan State Spartans ★★★★★ 92%
Spread Michigan State: -23.5 -110, Youngstown State: +23.5 -110 Youngstown State +23.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over: 52.5 -110, Under: 52.5 -110 Under 52.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Michigan State Spartans -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 52.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michigan State is expected to win comfortably but may struggle to cover the large -23.5 spread. The total points line at 52.5 is plausible given Michigan State's moderate offensive output and Youngstown State’s ability to score but limited by the mismatch in talent and pace.

Predicted Score: Michigan State 28 – Youngstown State 10


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Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Northwestern State Demons Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Cincinnati Bearcats vs Northwestern State Demons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Nippert Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio

Game Overview

The Cincinnati Bearcats host the Northwestern State Demons in a mismatch featuring a Power 5 FBS program against a FCS team. Cincinnati enters off a solid start with a strong offensive showing, while Northwestern State has struggled offensively, averaging only 10 points per game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cincinnati Bearcats have demonstrated a potent offense, averaging around 22.7 points per game at home and a strong defense. Northwestern State Demons have struggled offensively and defensively, allowing 38 points per game and scoring just 10 points per game so far this season[1][2].
  • Limited recent H2H data available; however, Cincinnati's superior football program stature and talent level suggests dominance over Northwestern State, consistent with historical Power 5 vs FCS matchups.
  • No significant injuries reported for Cincinnati. Northwestern State also appears to have a healthy roster, but their overall team depth and talent are factors in their underperformance this season[1].
  • Game played at Cincinnati’s home stadium, Nippert Stadium, offering a clear home-field advantage. Weather and travel are not expected to impact the heavily favored Cincinnati team significantly.
  • Cincinnati seeks to assert dominance in non-conference early season games to boost rankings and momentum. Northwestern State motivated to avoid a blowout but faces a steep uphill battle.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -4500 Cincinnati Bearcats ★★★★★ 95%
Spread -106 Cincinnati Bearcats -46.5 ★★★★★ 90%
Over/under -110 Over 53.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 53.5 34%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 53.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cincinnati Bearcats to win comfortably on moneyline and cover the large spread; game total expected to go over the offered line due to offensive mismatch.

Predicted Score: Cincinnati Bearcats 55 – Northwestern State Demons 10


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North Texas Mean Green vs. Washington State Cougars Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: North Texas Mean Green vs Washington State Cougars – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: DATCU Stadium, Denton, Texas

Game Overview

Both North Texas Mean Green and Washington State Cougars enter the game undefeated at 2-0. North Texas has shown strong offensive output with a 51-0 blowout and a close 33-30 win, while Washington State has allowed fewer points defensively in their recent 36-13 victory. The game is expected to be competitive with a moderately high total points projection.

Key Factors to Consider

  • North Texas averages 48 points per game with balanced passing and rushing offense, holding opponents to 15 points per game. Washington State averages 24.5 points per game, excels defensively allowing only 11.5 points per game, and relies more on passing yards. Washington State has struggled to cover recent spreads, while North Texas is strong at home as favorites.
  • Limited recent direct matchups; no recent H2H data strongly favors either side. North Texas home advantage and recent form against similar opponents give them the edge in this matchup.
  • No significant injury reports available for either team, so both teams are presumed healthy.
  • Game played at North Texas home stadium; travel and hostile environment may slightly favor the Mean Green. Weather is expected to be typical for Denton, Texas in September, unlikely to impact play significantly.
  • Both teams 2-0, early season momentum is important. North Texas looks to maintain home dominance and continue strong offensive performances. Washington State aims to establish themselves as top contenders and prove oddsmakers wrong despite underdog status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -230, away: +190 North Texas Mean Green ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread home: -108, away: -112 North Texas -6 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: -115, under: -105 Over 58.5 ★★★☆☆ 61%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline North Texas Mean Green 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 58.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 58.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

North Texas Mean Green to cover the 6-point spread and win the game outright, with the total going over 58.5 points.

Predicted Score: North Texas Mean Green 35 – Washington State Cougars 26


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Toledo Rockets vs. Morgan State Bears Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Toledo Rockets vs Morgan State Bears – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Glass Bowl, Toledo, OH

Game Overview

The Toledo Rockets host the Morgan State Bears at the Glass Bowl in a matchup featuring a Toledo team with a 1-1 record going against an 0-2 Morgan State team. Toledo has a significant home advantage and historical dominance when playing on Saturdays at home. Morgan State is struggling with offensive production and defensive lapses, while Toledo has demonstrated stronger form and defensive resilience.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Toledo is 1-1 this season, showing balanced offensive and defensive output, averaging around 30.5 points per game. Morgan State is 0-2 with a porous defense allowing 32.5 points per game and limited passing efficiency (62% completion rate, only 1 TD vs 2 INT). Morgan State’s ground game is more productive but insufficient to offset their defensive weaknesses.
  • No recent H2H data available, but Toledo’s recent home success on Saturdays (12-1 SU in last 13 games) and historical dominance over weaker programs strongly favors Toledo.
  • No significant injury reports are available for either team, indicating both squads should have their main contributors available.
  • Temperature of 82°F and no rain with mild wind conditions suggest neutral weather impact. The Glass Bowl home crowd and environment favor Toledo strongly.
  • Toledo aims to improve to 2-1 and assert MAC dominance early, while Morgan State is seeking its first win of the season and faces a daunting challenge on the road, likely impacting confidence and motivation levels.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Toledo -30000, Morgan State +4000 Toledo Rockets ★★★★★ 95%
Spread Toledo -33.5 -110, Morgan State +33.5 -110 Toledo Rockets -33.5 ★★★★★ 90%
Over/under Over 51.5 -110, Under 51.5 -110 Under 51.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toledo Rockets -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 51.5 34%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on Toledo Rockets dominating with a moneyline win, covering the large spread, and a game total expected to stay under 51.5 points due to Morgan State's weak offense and Toledo's controlled game pace.

Predicted Score: Toledo Rockets 38 – Morgan State Bears 10


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Tennessee Volunteers vs. Georgia Bulldogs Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Tennessee Volunteers vs Georgia Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, Tennessee

Game Overview

The Tennessee Volunteers (2-0) host the Georgia Bulldogs (2-0) in an early-season SEC showdown. Georgia enters as a -3.5 favorite with a total set at 49.5 points. Tennessee has shown explosive offense recently, scoring 72 points in their last game, while Georgia relies on a strong defense and a rookie QB making his first true SEC road start.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tennessee Volunteers have displayed potent offense with a 72-17 rout last game, while Georgia won 28-6 but has shown some offensive shakiness under rookie QB Gunner Stockton.
  • Recent meetings favor Georgia slightly, but Tennessee has home-field advantage at Neyland Stadium, a notoriously tough venue for visitors.
  • No major injury updates have significantly shifted the betting line recently, indicating both teams should be near full strength.
  • Line movement and betting percentages indicate strong public money on Tennessee against the spread, and the environment at Neyland favors motivated home fans.
  • Both teams are undefeated and highly ranked, with significant SEC and postseason implications; Tennessee may have extra motivation to prove themselves at home against a top-10 opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Georgia Bulldogs: -180, Tennessee Volunteers: 150 Tennessee Volunteers ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Georgia Bulldogs: -110, Tennessee Volunteers: -110 Tennessee Volunteers +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: -110, Under: -110 Over 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Georgia Bulldogs 35%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Georgia Bulldogs at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tennessee Volunteers to cover the spread and keep this game close, with an upset potential on the moneyline given Georgia's offensive inconsistencies and Tennessee's hot offense and home-field edge.

Predicted Score: Georgia Bulldogs 27 – Tennessee Volunteers 24


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UTSA Roadrunners vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: UTSA Roadrunners vs Incarnate Word Cardinals – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Alamodome

Game Overview

UTSA Roadrunners host the Incarnate Word Cardinals in a pivotal early-season matchup. UTSA enters struggling with a 0-2 start and difficulties covering big spreads, while Incarnate Word is a modest 1-1 but looking to upset on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UTSA has historically been strong but is off to a poor start with 0-2 and has lost six of its last seven September games, recently failing to cover large spreads. Incarnate Word is 1-1 with an improving offense led by Richard Torres (QBs) and efficient rushing attack. UTSA's defense has been vulnerable, giving opponents ample yardage.
  • Limited recent H2H data available, but UTSA historically dominates the matchup. However, recent form suggests the Cardinals could challenge the spread significantly.
  • No major injuries reported for either team that would drastically alter team strengths.
  • The game is played at the Alamodome, UTSA's home field, giving them a home crowd advantage. However, UTSA's poor September form and motivation could neutralize typical home edge.
  • UTSA is motivated to stop its losing skid and avoid another poor start. Incarnate Word aims to build momentum and prove competitive against a favored opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -850, away: 570 UTSA Roadrunners win moneyline ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread home: -108, away: -112 Incarnate Word +17.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: -110, under: -110 Under 61.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline UTSA Roadrunners -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 61.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 61.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite UTSA’s heavy favoring in moneyline and spread odds, the sharp -17.5 spread is risky given their recent struggles against the spread and Incarnate Word’s moderate offensive production. Higher expected value lies in betting Incarnate Word +17.5 on the spread, while moneyline and totals offer less attractive EV due to price imbalance.

Predicted Score: UTSA 34 – Incarnate Word 20


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Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Oregon State Beavers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Oregon State Beavers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock

Game Overview

Texas Tech Red Raiders (2-0) host Oregon State Beavers (0-2) at Jones AT&T Stadium. Texas Tech is heavily favored with strong recent form and home advantage, while Oregon State struggles but has shown some offensive promise.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Texas Tech is 5-0 in their last 5 games and 2-0 this season, showing strong offensive output and solid defense. Oregon State is 0-2 this season, with a struggling defense ranked near the bottom nationally but an improving offense led by QB Maalik Murphy.
  • Limited recent head-to-head data; however, Texas Tech has demonstrated dominance as a ranked team, while Oregon State is underdog.
  • No significant injuries reported impacting starters on either team.
  • Game at Texas Tech’s home field with stable weather conditions (84°F, minimal rain, low wind). Texas Tech benefits from home crowd and altitude.
  • Texas Tech seeks to maintain undefeated status and top-25 ranking momentum; Oregon State looks to break the losing streak and prove competitiveness on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Texas Tech -3000, Oregon State +1200 Texas Tech ★★★★★ 90%
Spread Texas Tech -23.5 (-118), Oregon State +23.5 (-104) Texas Tech -23.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 61.5 (-106), Under 61.5 (-114) Under 61.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Texas Tech Red Raiders -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 61.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 61.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Texas Tech covers the large spread and wins convincingly; total points come under the posted line due to Oregon State's weak defense limiting scoring.

Predicted Score: Texas Tech 38 – Oregon State 18


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