Match Analysis: Baylor Bears vs Arizona State Sun Devils – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: McLane Stadium
Game Overview
This matchup features two 2-1 teams, Baylor Bears hosting the Arizona State Sun Devils. Baylor enters as a slight favorite at home but has defensive weaknesses, while Arizona State has a strong running game and a high-performing quarterback. The game projects to be competitive and relatively high scoring.
Key Factors to Consider
- Baylor showcases a potent offense ranked top 30 in passing success and points per drive but struggles defensively, ranking in the bottom 10 nationally in key defensive metrics. Arizona State has a balanced attack and effectiveness on the ground, evidenced by wins over Auburn and SMU. Both teams have 2-1 records indicating solid recent form.
- There are no recent direct matchup results provided in the available data, suggesting little recent head-to-head history to strongly influence the prediction.
- No significant injury information was provided, implying both teams are expected to be near full strength for this contest.
- The game is at Baylor's home stadium, McLane Stadium, providing a home-field advantage for Baylor. The kickoff is at 7:30 PM local time, minimizing weather or timing concerns.
- Baylor, tipped preseason to contend for the Big 12 title, aims to prove their defense can improve while maintaining offensive momentum. Arizona State seeks to build on strong early season performances and continue momentum against a favored opponent.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Arizona State Sun Devils: +114, Baylor Bears: -137 | Baylor Bears | β β β β β 70% |
Spread | Arizona State Sun Devils: +2.5 -110, Baylor Bears: -2.5 -110 | Baylor Bears -2.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over: 59.5 -110, Under: 59.5 -110 | Over 59.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Baylor Bears 4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 59.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 59.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Baylor to win on the moneyline and cover the -2.5 spread, with the total going over 59.5 points.
Predicted Score: Baylor Bears 34 – Arizona State Sun Devils 28