Match Analysis: Ball State Cardinals vs New Hampshire Wildcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Scheumann Stadium
Game Overview
Ball State Cardinals host the New Hampshire Wildcats in an early-season NCAAF matchup with both teams looking to establish momentum. Ball State struggles recently in outright wins but covers spreads frequently, while New Hampshire appears balanced with a 2-0 record. Betting markets show a near even-money fight with Ball State a slight favorite by 1.5 points and a total set at 47.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ball State is 0-5 SU in their last five games but strong ATS at 14-6 over their recent 20; New Hampshire stands 2-0 this season showing solid offensive output. Recent form slightly favors New Hampshire's winning momentum, but Ball State's home advantage and ATS success indicate competitive play.
- No recent direct H2H data indicates a close matchup and limited historical dominance by either team.
- No major injuries reported for either team that should impact starting lineups or key positional groups significantly.
- The game is at Ball State's home stadium with no apparent weather or travel factors disadvantaging either team. The home crowd should support Ball State positively.
- Ball State looks to break a losing streak and capitalize on home field advantage, adding motivational edge; New Hampshire aims to extend perfect record, giving them strong baseline confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Ball State: -111, New Hampshire: -108 | Ball State | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | Ball State -1.5: -106, New Hampshire +1.5: -114 | Ball State -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 47.5: -110, Under 47.5: -110 | Under 47.5 points | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Ball State Cardinals 5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 47.5 18% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ball State Cardinals to win on moneyline, cover the 1.5 point spread, and the game to go under 47.5 points.
Predicted Score: Ball State 24 – New Hampshire 20