Match Analysis: Auburn Tigers vs South Alabama Jaguars – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 4:45 PM UTC
- Location: Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, Alabama
Game Overview
The Auburn Tigers, ranked No. 24 with a 2-0 record, face the South Alabama Jaguars, who have a 1-1 record, in their first-ever meeting. Auburn is favored heavily, with a strong offense averaging 40 points per game and a stout defense allowing just 13.5 points per game. South Alabama has shown potential offensively, averaging 34.5 points, but struggled defensively allowing 27 points per game. Auburn dominated its last game with a 42-3 win, while South Alabama narrowly lost 33-31 to Tulane.
Key Factors to Consider
- Auburn boasts stronger overall team performance with efficient passing and rushing attacks, led by Jackson Arnold (77.8% completions, 359 yards, 3 TDs) and Jeremiah Cobb (195 rushing yards, 3 TDs). South Alabama is productive offensively, led by Bishop Davenport's 76.3% completions and dual-threat ground and aerial weaponry, but their defense has been less effective, conceding more points.
- This is the first-ever matchup between Auburn Tigers and South Alabama Jaguars, so no direct head-to-head data exists.
- Auburn has some key injuries including RB Durell Robinson (out, thigh), RB Damari Alston (questionable, shoulder), and CB Champ Anthony (out, thumb). South Alabama reports no significant injuries.
- The game is played at Jordan-Hare Stadium with temperatures expected in the high 80s and sunny, ideal weather for football. The SEC Network will broadcast the game. Auburn has the home advantage and historical strength in September offense against non-ranked teams.
- Auburn seeks to maintain undefeated status and national ranking momentum, facing a relatively weaker, unranked first-time opponent. South Alabama aims to upset a top-25 team to improve their 1-1 start and prove competitiveness against SEC competition.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Auburn: -3200, South Alabama: 1400 | Auburn to win | โ โ โ โ โ 92% |
| Spread | Auburn: -24.5 -112, South Alabama: +24.5 -108 | Auburn to cover -24.5 points | โ โ โ โ โ 85% |
| Over/under | Over: 55.5 -105, Under: 55.5 -115 | Over 55.5 points | โ โ โ โโ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Auburn Tigers 1040% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 55.5 17% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Auburn Tigers at 1040% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 74.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Auburn is heavily favored to win given their dominant offense, superior defense, home advantage, and favorable odds. Expected to cover the large spread and see a moderately high scoring game.
Predicted Score: Auburn Tigers 38, South Alabama Jaguars 22