Match Analysis: Auburn Tigers vs Missouri Tigers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 11:45 PM UTC
- Location: Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, AL
Game Overview
The Missouri Tigers, ranked No. 16 with a 5-1 record, visit the Auburn Tigers, who are 3-3 and unranked, for a key SEC matchup. Missouri boasts the sixth-ranked rushing offense and is favored narrowly. Auburn has the 11th-ranked rush defense but has struggled with a 0-3 SEC record, coming off a loss to Georgia. The game features closely matched teams, with Missouri slight favorites both in spread and moneyline odds, and a moderate total points line set at 43.5.
Key Factors to Consider
- Missouri enters with a strong 5-1 overall and 1-1 SEC record, demonstrating balanced offense and resilience, albeit with a close 27-24 loss last game to Alabama. Auburn is 3-3 overall, winless in conference play at 0-3, and riding a three-game losing streak, including a 20-10 loss to Georgia, indicating struggles on both offense and defense.
- Recent head-to-head data is limited for this season. Historically, matchups are competitive in the SEC context. Missouri is slight favorite based on recent performance and rankings.
- No explicit injury information is available at this time for key players on either team, suggesting both squads may field close to full strength.
- Game is at Auburn's home venue, Jordan-Hare Stadium, providing the home team a typical advantage. Missouri's strong rushing attack will be tested against Auburn's respectable rush defense ranking. Weather or other environmental factors are not specified.
- Missouri seeks to maintain momentum and improve conference record, aiming to solidify standing in SEC. Auburn aims to reverse a three-game slide and avoid falling deeper into conference losses, making home-field performance crucial.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Auburn Tigers: +105, Missouri Tigers: -125 | Missouri Tigers | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
| Spread | Auburn Tigers +1.5: -108, Missouri Tigers -1.5: -112 | Missouri Tigers -1.5 | โ โ โ โโ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 43.5: -115, Under 43.5: -105 | Under 43.5 | โ โ โ โโ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Missouri Tigers -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 43.5 3% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Under 43.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Missouri wins narrowly given superior overall record, stronger rushing offense, and slight betting favorite status, but Auburnโs home field and solid rush defense keep it close.
Predicted Score: Missouri Tigers 24 – Auburn Tigers 21