Match Analysis: Auburn Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Auburn, AL (Home stadium of Auburn Tigers)
Game Overview
Auburn Tigers host Kentucky Wildcats in a crucial SEC matchup. Auburn enters with a balanced 4-4 record while Kentucky struggles at 2-5. Auburn is favored heavily on the moneyline and the spread, with the total points line set around 44.5.
Key Factors to Consider
- Auburn has shown moderate consistency, outperforming Kentucky's subpar 2-5 record. Auburnβs offense and defense metrics trend better, especially at home.
- Historically, Auburn has dominated recent season meetings against Kentucky, often covering spreads comfortably and controlling game tempo.
- No critical injuries reported for Auburn; Kentucky has key starters questionable or out, impacting their offensive efficiency.
- Neutral weather and home advantage favor Auburn; motivation also leans towards Auburn fighting for postseason relevance while Kentuckyβs motivation is waning with a losing record.
- Auburn requires a win to remain bowl-eligible and maintain momentum; Kentucky has limited playoff prospects reducing their competitive edge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Auburn -460 / Kentucky +360 | Auburn | β β β β β 82% |
| Spread | Auburn -11.5 (-110) / Kentucky +11.5 (-110) | Auburn -11.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over 44.5 (-114) / Under 44.5 (-106) | Under 44.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Auburn Tigers -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 44.5 26% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 44.5 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Auburn to win outright (moneyline), cover the 11.5 point spread, and the total score to go under 44.5 points.
Predicted Score: Auburn 27 – Kentucky 14