Match Analysis: Arkansas Razorbacks vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium
Game Overview
The matchup features the Arkansas Razorbacks hosting the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, with Notre Dame favored as a 4.5-point favorite and an over/under close to 64.5 points, signaling expectations of a high-scoring contest.
Key Factors to Consider
- Arkansas holds a 2-2 record while Notre Dame is at 1-2, with Arkansas showing slightly better recent form and offensive potential based on previous matchups and point expectations.
- Historically, the teams have had competitive games, but recent projections suggest Arkansas can post a higher score, indicating a shift in their offensive efficiency against Notre Dame.
- No significant injury information suggests major absences for either team, maintaining standard lineups and competitive balance.
- The game is at Arkansasβ home stadium, providing a slight home-field advantage amid neutral external conditions and typical season scheduling.
- Both teams seek positive momentum mid-season; Arkansas aims to build on balanced performance, while Notre Dame looks to assert dominance despite recent struggles.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: +164, away: -198 | Arkansas Razorbacks | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | home: +4.5 -112, away: -4.5 -108 | Arkansas Razorbacks +4.5 | β β β β β 72% |
Over/under | over: 64.5 -108, under: 64.5 -112 | Over 64.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Arkansas Razorbacks 50% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 64.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Arkansas Razorbacks at 50% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the odds and recent performance, backing Arkansas on the moneyline offers the highest expected value due to underdog status combined with stronger offensive projections and home advantage.
Predicted Score: Arkansas Razorbacks 38 – Notre Dame Fighting Irish 30