Match Analysis: Arkansas Razorbacks vs Auburn Tigers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: October 25, 2025
- Time: 4:45 PM UTC
- Location: Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, Arkansas
Game Overview
Auburn (3-4, 0-4 SEC) visits Arkansas (2-5, 0-3 SEC) in a critical SEC matchup for both teams. Both are winless in conference play, so this game could be pivotal in turning their seasons around. Arkansas brings in the 17th-ranked scoring offense, while Auburn counters with the 23rd-ranked scoring defense[1]. Arkansas is coming off a high-scoring loss to Texas A&M (45-42), while Auburn dropped a defensive battle to Missouri (23-17)[1]. With SEC Network broadcasting, this game is likely to be a tactical, hard-fought contest.
Key Factors to Consider
- Arkansas has a stronger offense, scoring 28.4 points per game (PPG), but their defense ranks among the worst in the SEC, allowing 34.3 PPG. Auburn, meanwhile, scores 21.4 PPG and has a more reliable defense, conceding 22.0 PPG[1]. The Razorbacks' offense vs. Tigers' defense will be the key on-field matchup. Auburn has lost four straight and desperately needs a win to avoid a long losing streak[5], while Arkansas has lost three in a row against tough SEC opponents.
- Recent head-to-head data specific to this seasonโs rosters is unavailable in the search results. Historically, these teams have split recent meetings, but current form and conference struggles suggest this is a toss-up.
- No detailed injury information is available in the current search results.
- No significant weather issues noted. The game is at home for Arkansas, which could provide a minor advantage. Both teams are likely to face additional pressure due to their SEC droughts and fan expectations.
- Both teams are desperate for their first SEC win, making motivation levels extremely high. Auburnโs recent losing streak may add urgency, while Arkansas will aim to capitalize on its offensive strength and home crowd.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arkansas Razorbacks: -115, Auburn Tigers: -105 | Auburn Tigers (close call, slight edge due to defense and value in odds) | โ โ โ โโ 51% |
| Spread | Arkansas Razorbacks: -1.5 (-105), Auburn Tigers: +1.5 (-115) | Auburn +1.5 (expecting a close contest, possibly within one score) | โ โ โ โโ 55% |
| Over/under | Over 55.5: -115, Under 55.5: -105 | Over 55.5 (while both teams have had recent lower totals, Arkansasโs games have trended higher, and their defense could allow Auburn to score enough to push the total) | โ โ โ โโ 52% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Auburn Tigers 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 55.5 -3% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Auburn Tigers at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
This is a closely contested SEC game with no clear favorite. Arkansasโs offense is explosive, but their defensive weaknesses leave them vulnerable. Auburnโs defense is their strength, but their offense has struggled. Expect a tight, back-and-forth game that could go either way, but with slight value on Auburn given the odds and Arkansasโs defensive issues.
Predicted Score: Arkansas Razorbacks 27, Auburn Tigers 28 (close, possibly decided by a late score or turnover)