Match Analysis: Arizona Wildcats vs Kansas Jayhawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 8:30 PM UTC
- Location: Arizona Stadium, Tucson, Arizona
Game Overview
The Arizona Wildcats (5-3) host the Kansas Jayhawks (5-4) in a Big 12 conference matchup with Arizona favored by 5.5 points. Both teams have been solid recently, Arizona coming off a dominant 52-17 win over Colorado and Kansas a convincing 38-21 victory against Oklahoma State, making this clash competitive and significant for conference standings.
Key Factors to Consider
- Arizona is 4-1 in their last 5 games while covering the spread 4-1 as well. They showed strong offensive output last game scoring 52 points. Kansas has also won their last game decisively but has an overall record of 5-4, slightly worse than Arizona’s 5-3.
- Recent head-to-head data is limited but historically Arizona has a slight edge at home. Arizona's strong offensive showings contrast with Kansas's decent but less explosive scoring consistency.
- No significant injuries reported for either team that would drastically affect the starting lineup or key positions.
- Home-field advantage is on Arizona’s side at Arizona Stadium in Tucson with stable weather conditions (81°F, 0% rain). No external disruptions are expected.
- Arizona, with a better record and home advantage, is motivated to secure a conference win to improve their standing. Kansas aims to upset but is on the road which could reduce motivation impact.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arizona Wildcats: -198, Kansas Jayhawks: +166 | Arizona Wildcats | ★★★★☆ 74% |
| Spread | Arizona Wildcats -5.5 (-110), Kansas Jayhawks +5.5 (-110) | Arizona Wildcats -5.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 57.5 (-115), Under 57.5 (-105) | Under 57.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arizona Wildcats -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 57.5 13% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 57.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Arizona Wildcats to cover the spread (-5.5)
Predicted Score: Arizona Wildcats 30 – Kansas Jayhawks 20