Match Analysis: Arizona State Sun Devils vs West Virginia Mountaineers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, AZ
Game Overview
The Arizona State Sun Devils (6-3) host the West Virginia Mountaineers (4-6) in a Big 12 conference matchup. Arizona State is strongly favored due to better overall season performance, home field advantage, and favorable odds. The game features an over/under total set around 48.5 points, indicating expectations of a moderately scoring game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Arizona State has a 6-3 record with a solid 4-4-1 against the spread, showing moderate consistency; West Virginia is struggling with a 4-6 record but has recently won two consecutive games. Arizona State has a stronger offense and defense on paper, reflected in their recent winning streak and better statistical output.
- No recent direct head-to-head data was provided, but Arizona State has generally performed better in this season's matchups and is favored by bookmakers by 11.5 points.
- Current data includes injury considerations factored into models; no major standout injuries reported at this time that would drastically affect team performance.
- The game is played at Arizona State's home stadium with mild weather conditions (72ยฐF, no rain) expected. The home crowd and environment likely benefit Arizona State.
- Arizona State is motivated to maintain their positive season trajectory and secure a strong Big 12 standing, while West Virginia seeks to build on recent wins to improve their record despite being underdogs.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arizona State Sun Devils: -460, West Virginia Mountaineers: 360 | Arizona State Sun Devils win | โ โ โ โ โ 81% |
| Spread | Arizona State Sun Devils: -11.5 (-105), West Virginia Mountaineers: +11.5 (-115) | Arizona State -11.5 points | 70-75% |
| Over/under | Over: 48.5 (-105), Under: 48.5 (-115) | Over 48.5 points | 60-65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arizona State Sun Devils -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 48.5 21% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Arizona State is predicted to win decisively, with analyses and models showing them covering the 11.5 point spread and a final expected score around 34-17.
Predicted Score: Arizona State 34, West Virginia 17