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Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Wisconsin Badgers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Alabama Crimson Tide vs Wisconsin Badgers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, Alabama

Game Overview

Alabama Crimson Tide (1-1) hosts the Wisconsin Badgers (2-0) in a Week 3 NCAA College Football matchup. Alabama enters as a strong favorite with a dominant spread of -20.5 and moneyline odds reflecting heavy public and bookmaker confidence. Wisconsin has started the season undefeated and is motivated to maintain their momentum but is a significant underdog playing on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alabama's offense exploded in their last game with a 73-0 win, demonstrating high scoring potential, while Wisconsin won their last game 42-10, showing solid form. Alabama is 1-1 in recent games and against the spread, whereas Wisconsin is 2-0 straight-up and 1-1 ATS this season.
  • Recent head-to-head data shows Alabama typically dominates Wisconsin at home with large margins, reinforcing Alabama's strong position on the spread.
  • No major injuries reported affecting key starters on either team.
  • Game played at Bryant-Denny Stadium with favorable weather (83°F, no rain) and minimal wind, supporting offensive productivity.
  • Wisconsin is motivated as a 2-0 underdog to prove themselves, but Alabama, with prestige and fan expectations, looks to firmly reassert dominance at home after a mixed start.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alabama -1600, Wisconsin +900 Alabama ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Alabama -20.5 (-112), Wisconsin +20.5 (-108) Alabama -20.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 46.5 -108, Under 46.5 -112 Over 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alabama Crimson Tide -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alabama to win straight up and cover the -20.5 point spread, with the total game score going over 46.5 points.

Predicted Score: Alabama 38, Wisconsin 15


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Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Wisconsin Badgers Prediction

Match Analysis: Alabama Crimson Tide vs Wisconsin Badgers – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-09-13 Time: 4:00 PM UTC Location: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, Alabama Game Overview Alabama Crimson Tide (1-1) hosts the Wisconsin Badgers (2-0) in a Week 3 NCAA College Football matchup. Alabama enters as a strong favorite with a dominant spread of -20.5 and […]

Alabama Crimson Tide American Football September 13, 2025 Wisconsin Badgers

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Missouri Tigers vs. Louisiana Ragin Cajuns Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Missouri Tigers vs Louisiana Ragin Cajuns – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field, Columbia, Missouri

Game Overview

Missouri Tigers, currently ranked No. 25 and undefeated at 2-0, host the Louisiana Ragin Cajuns, who hold a 1-1 record. Missouri’s strong offense and defense, combined with home-field advantage and recent dominating performances, make them heavy favorites. Louisiana has shown some offensive potential but lacks experience against Power Five opponents like Missouri.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Missouri has displayed balanced offensive efficiency and a stout defense, winning their last game 42-31. Louisiana managed a solid 34-10 win recently but against a weaker opponent; their defense is likely to struggle against Missouri’s multi-faceted attack.
  • Missouri has historically dominated this matchup, with Louisiana rarely competing closely especially when Missouri is home and in form.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team that would impact the game.
  • Missouri’s home venue at Faurot Field is known for a strong home advantage with vocal support, creating a challenging environment for visiting teams.
  • Missouri aims to stay undefeated and build momentum for the season ahead, while Louisiana faces a tough road challenge that may dampen their motivation given the disparity in talent and ranking.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline missouri: -4500, louisiana: +1700 Missouri Tigers ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread missouri: -27.5 -102, louisiana: +27.5 -118 Missouri Tigers -27.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under over: 47.5 -108, under: 47.5 -112 Over 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Missouri Tigers -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 47.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Missouri Tigers to win decisively and cover the large spread, with the game projecting an above-average total score given Missouri’s offensive firepower.

Predicted Score: Missouri 44 – Louisiana 7


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Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Iowa State Cyclones Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Iowa State Cyclones – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Centennial Bank Stadium, Jonesboro, Arkansas

Game Overview

Iowa State Cyclones enter as heavy favorites against Arkansas State Red Wolves, who have shown inconsistencies early in the season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Iowa State is undefeated at 3-0, with a strong defensive showing allowing 20.5 points per game, and a balanced offense led by QB Rocco Becht. Arkansas State is 1-1, recently suffering a heavy loss (56-14) to Arkansas Razorbacks.
  • Recent head-to-head data is limited; Iowa State's higher ranking and confidence from recent wins against quality opponents gives them a strong mental edge.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team that would majorly affect game outcome.
  • Game played at Arkansas State’s home venue with 92°F and no rain, which may slightly favor the home team, but likely minimal impact given Iowa State’s form.
  • Iowa State, ranked No. 14, motivated to maintain unbeaten streak and build momentum for tougher upcoming matches; Arkansas State aims to bounce back but faces steep odds.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +850, away: -1450 Iowa State Cyclones ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread home: -105, away: -115 Iowa State -20.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over: -112, under: -108 Under 55.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Iowa State Cyclones -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 55.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 55.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Iowa State to win, cover the spread, and the total points to go under 55.5

Predicted Score: Iowa State thirty-four – Arkansas State eleven


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North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Richmond Spiders Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: North Carolina Tar Heels vs Richmond Spiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Kenan Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC

Game Overview

North Carolina Tar Heels and Richmond Spiders both enter Week 3 with 1-1 records, facing off in Chapel Hill. UNC is heavily favored, with a strong historical edge and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UNC has shown solid but not dominant form, splitting their first two games. Richmond is also 1-1 but has less recent success against UNC historically.
  • UNC leads the all-time series 12-2. The last meeting was in 1978, with Richmond winning that game, but UNC has generally dominated historically.
  • No significant injury reports impacting starters from either team are currently noted, implying both squads should be near full strength.
  • Weather is projected to be ideal football conditions: 78°F at kickoff with light 8 MPH winds, no rain expected.
  • UNC aims to build momentum ahead of tougher ACC games, including Clemson. Richmond seeks to upset a Power Five conference foe, providing some underdog motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline North Carolina Tar Heels: -3000, Richmond Spiders: 1200 North Carolina Tar Heels ★★★★☆ 88%
Spread North Carolina Tar Heels -21.5: -115, Richmond Spiders +21.5: -105 North Carolina Tar Heels -21.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 46.5: -115, Under 46.5: -105 Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline North Carolina Tar Heels -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

North Carolina Tar Heels moneyline; UNC to cover -21.5 spread; Under 46.5 points total

Predicted Score: North Carolina Tar Heels 28 – Richmond Spiders 14


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Missouri State Bears vs. SMU Mustangs Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Missouri State Bears vs SMU Mustangs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Robert W. Plaster Stadium, Springfield, Missouri

Game Overview

The SMU Mustangs (1-1) visit the Missouri State Bears (1-1) with SMU as heavy favorites both on the moneyline and spread. SMU had a close 48-45 loss to Baylor recently, showing strong offensive firepower, while Missouri State eked out a narrow 21-20 win versus Marshall. The total points line is set high at 61.5, reflecting expectations of a high-scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • SMU has demonstrated explosive offense but a marginal defense, allowing 48 in their last game. Missouri State has shown resilience winning close games but lacks offensive consistency, averaging fewer yards per play than SMU. Both teams are 1-1, but SMU's offensive efficiency (yards per pass and rush) is superior.
  • No prior head-to-head data available; first meeting.
  • No significant injury reports available for either team.
  • Game is played at Missouri State's home stadium, possibly providing modest home-field advantage for the Bears despite being underdogs.
  • SMU looks to rebound from a high-scoring loss and assert conference strength; Missouri State aims to capitalize on home advantage and avoid blowout.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +1300, away: -2800 SMU Mustangs ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread home: +27.5 -105, away: -27.5 -115 Missouri State Bears +27.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over: 61.5 -108, under: 61.5 -112 Over 61.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline SMU Mustangs -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 61.5 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 61.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Take SMU Mustangs moneyline for a strong expected value given overwhelming odds and expected dominance; expect a close contest with Missouri State covering the large spread; game total to go over due to both teams' offensive tendencies.

Predicted Score: SMU Mustangs 44, Missouri State Bears 21


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Purdue Boilermakers vs. USC Trojans Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Purdue Boilermakers vs USC Trojans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, Indiana

Game Overview

The USC Trojans (2-0) visit the Purdue Boilermakers (2-0) in a key Big Ten clash with USC heavily favored. USC is coming off dominant wins and has shown superior offensive efficiency, while Purdue has solid but less explosive performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • USC has demonstrated offensive explosiveness with wins of 59-20 and 73-13, showing strong passing and scoring ability without turnovers. Purdue also undefeated but with less dominant wins (34-17), suggesting a clear gap in scoring capability.
  • Recent H2H meetings show USC typically holds the edge, and the betting markets imply a 20.5 point favorite status on USC, underscoring past dominance and current form advantages.
  • No significant injuries reported for key USC players like QB Jayden Maiava, who leads with high completion rates and zero interceptions. Purdue’s roster appears healthy but lacks star impact players comparable to USC’s.
  • Home venue advantage to Purdue at Ross-Ade Stadium, but likely insufficient against USC’s superior talent and form. Weather and other conditions expected to be neutral.
  • Both teams are 2-0 and motivated to stay undefeated early in the season; USC’s aim to extend dominant showings and Purdue to prove themselves against a top opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline USC -1800 / Purdue +920 USC Trojans ★★★★☆ 88%
Spread Purdue +21.5 -120 / USC -21.5 -102 USC Trojans -21.5 ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under Over 58.5 -110 / Under 58.5 -110 Over 58.5 points ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline USC Trojans -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 58.5 30%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 58.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

USC Trojans to win moneyline, cover the -21.5 spread, and the game to go over 58.5 points

Predicted Score: USC Trojans 41 – Purdue Boilermakers 19


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West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Pittsburgh Panthers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: West Virginia Mountaineers vs Pittsburgh Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium, Morgantown, West Virginia

Game Overview

The Pittsburgh Panthers enter this Backyard Brawl as 7-point favorites over the West Virginia Mountaineers, who are underdogs at home following a 1-1 start. Pittsburgh is undefeated at 2-0 with strong recent form, whereas West Virginia has struggled offensively and suffered injuries to key skill players.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Pittsburgh has convincingly won their last game 45-17, showing offensive efficiency and defensive solidity. West Virginia lost 17-10, demonstrating offensive struggles and a vulnerable line.
  • Historically, Pittsburgh has had the upper hand in recent clashes, reflected in market odds and implied winning percentages, with Pittsburgh heavily favored.
  • West Virginia is missing key offensive contributors including starting quarterback issues, key RB Jahiem White, and WR Jaden Bray, limiting their scoring potential. Pittsburgh reports no major injuries impacting their starting units.
  • The game is played at West Virginia's home field, providing some home crowd advantage, but insufficient to offset Pittsburgh's current strength and form.
  • West Virginia seeks redemption and revenge, which may spur a competitive effort, but Pittsburgh's momentum and confident start give them psychological and tactical edges.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +225, away: -278 Pittsburgh Panthers ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Pittsburgh: -108, West Virginia: -112 Pittsburgh Panthers -7 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over: -105, under: -115 Under 57.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Pittsburgh Panthers -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 57.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 57.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Pittsburgh Panthers moneyline win; Pittsburgh to cover the -7 spread; Total points under 57.5

Predicted Score: Pittsburgh Panthers 31 – West Virginia Mountaineers 19


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Michigan State Spartans vs. Youngstown St Penguins Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Michigan State Spartans vs Youngstown St Penguins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI

Game Overview

This Week 3 NCAAF game features the undefeated Michigan State Spartans hosting the also undefeated Youngstown State Penguins. Michigan State is a strong FBS program while Youngstown State is a solid FCS team, making this a classic mismatch on paper.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Michigan State is 2-0 with solid overall team strength but recent ATS form is mixed (1-4 ATS last 5). Youngstown State is 2-0 with dominant wins at FCS level, notably a 56-17 blowout in their last game. Michigan State has superior talent but has struggled to cover big spreads recently.
  • No recent notable head-to-head games between these teams as they belong to different divisions, so no H2H trends are relevant.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team ahead of kickoff, suggesting full strength squads.
  • Weather is clear and favorable (mid 70s, no rain), and the game is at Michigan State’s home stadium, which provides a strong home-field advantage.
  • Both teams are undefeated early in the season and motivated to keep perfect records, though Michigan State faces pressure to dominate a lower-tier FCS opponent, possibly influencing conservative game management.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Michigan State: -2500, Youngstown State: +1100 Michigan State Spartans ★★★★★ 92%
Spread Michigan State: -23.5 -110, Youngstown State: +23.5 -110 Youngstown State +23.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over: 52.5 -110, Under: 52.5 -110 Under 52.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Michigan State Spartans -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 52.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michigan State is expected to win comfortably but may struggle to cover the large -23.5 spread. The total points line at 52.5 is plausible given Michigan State's moderate offensive output and Youngstown State’s ability to score but limited by the mismatch in talent and pace.

Predicted Score: Michigan State 28 – Youngstown State 10


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Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Northwestern State Demons Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Cincinnati Bearcats vs Northwestern State Demons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Nippert Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio

Game Overview

The Cincinnati Bearcats host the Northwestern State Demons in a mismatch featuring a Power 5 FBS program against a FCS team. Cincinnati enters off a solid start with a strong offensive showing, while Northwestern State has struggled offensively, averaging only 10 points per game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cincinnati Bearcats have demonstrated a potent offense, averaging around 22.7 points per game at home and a strong defense. Northwestern State Demons have struggled offensively and defensively, allowing 38 points per game and scoring just 10 points per game so far this season[1][2].
  • Limited recent H2H data available; however, Cincinnati's superior football program stature and talent level suggests dominance over Northwestern State, consistent with historical Power 5 vs FCS matchups.
  • No significant injuries reported for Cincinnati. Northwestern State also appears to have a healthy roster, but their overall team depth and talent are factors in their underperformance this season[1].
  • Game played at Cincinnati’s home stadium, Nippert Stadium, offering a clear home-field advantage. Weather and travel are not expected to impact the heavily favored Cincinnati team significantly.
  • Cincinnati seeks to assert dominance in non-conference early season games to boost rankings and momentum. Northwestern State motivated to avoid a blowout but faces a steep uphill battle.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -4500 Cincinnati Bearcats ★★★★★ 95%
Spread -106 Cincinnati Bearcats -46.5 ★★★★★ 90%
Over/under -110 Over 53.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 53.5 34%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 53.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cincinnati Bearcats to win comfortably on moneyline and cover the large spread; game total expected to go over the offered line due to offensive mismatch.

Predicted Score: Cincinnati Bearcats 55 – Northwestern State Demons 10


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North Texas Mean Green vs. Washington State Cougars Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: North Texas Mean Green vs Washington State Cougars – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: DATCU Stadium, Denton, Texas

Game Overview

Both North Texas Mean Green and Washington State Cougars enter the game undefeated at 2-0. North Texas has shown strong offensive output with a 51-0 blowout and a close 33-30 win, while Washington State has allowed fewer points defensively in their recent 36-13 victory. The game is expected to be competitive with a moderately high total points projection.

Key Factors to Consider

  • North Texas averages 48 points per game with balanced passing and rushing offense, holding opponents to 15 points per game. Washington State averages 24.5 points per game, excels defensively allowing only 11.5 points per game, and relies more on passing yards. Washington State has struggled to cover recent spreads, while North Texas is strong at home as favorites.
  • Limited recent direct matchups; no recent H2H data strongly favors either side. North Texas home advantage and recent form against similar opponents give them the edge in this matchup.
  • No significant injury reports available for either team, so both teams are presumed healthy.
  • Game played at North Texas home stadium; travel and hostile environment may slightly favor the Mean Green. Weather is expected to be typical for Denton, Texas in September, unlikely to impact play significantly.
  • Both teams 2-0, early season momentum is important. North Texas looks to maintain home dominance and continue strong offensive performances. Washington State aims to establish themselves as top contenders and prove oddsmakers wrong despite underdog status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -230, away: +190 North Texas Mean Green ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread home: -108, away: -112 North Texas -6 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: -115, under: -105 Over 58.5 ★★★☆☆ 61%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline North Texas Mean Green 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 58.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 58.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

North Texas Mean Green to cover the 6-point spread and win the game outright, with the total going over 58.5 points.

Predicted Score: North Texas Mean Green 35 – Washington State Cougars 26


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