Match Analysis: Syracuse Crunch vs Belleville Senators – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Home of Syracuse Crunch
Game Overview
The Syracuse Crunch are currently the stronger side in the 2025-2026 AHL season standings, positioned at or near the top of the league with a 5-0 record, exhibiting strong form and goal-scoring ability compared to the Belleville Senators, who sit mid-table with a 3-0 record. The Crunch show better goal differential and recent performances, having convincingly defeated Belleville 6-2 in their most recent encounter on October 19, 2025.
Key Factors to Consider
- Syracuse Crunch have a perfect recent record and top league positioning with dominant scoring, while Belleville Senators have a decent 3 wins but with noticeably weaker defense and fewer wins overall this season.
- In their recent head-to-head matchup, Syracuse won decisively 6-2, indicating a clear upper hand in both offensive and defensive matchups between these two teams.
- No significant injuries reported for either team that could impact player availability or team strength.
- The game is played at Syracuseβs home rink, giving them home ice advantage which historically benefits their win probability in the AHL.
- Syracuse aims to consolidate their top position and extend their winning streak early in the season; Belleville is motivated to improve their standing but is on the back foot due to weaker recent results.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Belleville Senators: +140, Syracuse Crunch: -185 | Syracuse Crunch | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Belleville Senators +1.5: -200, Syracuse Crunch -1.5: +150 | Syracuse Crunch -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 5.5: +115, Under 5.5: -150 | Under 5.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Syracuse Crunch -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Syracuse Crunch to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 spread, and the game to finish under 5.5 goals.
Predicted Score: Syracuse Crunch 4 – 2 Belleville Senators