Match Analysis: Providence Bruins vs Hartford Wolf Pack - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 12:05 AM UTC
- Location: Providence, Rhode Island (Home)
Game Overview
Providence Bruins (11-1-0) host Hartford Wolf Pack (3-6-2) in an AHL Atlantic Division matchup. Providence enters as heavy favorites with the best record in the league, while Hartford struggles with a concerning 0.364 points percentage and has lost their last two games.
Key Factors to Consider
- Providence Bruins lead the AHL with 11 wins, 1 loss, and 0 overtimes in 12 games, posting a 0.909 points percentage. They average 41 goals for and 22 against. Hartford Wolf Pack sit at 3-6-2 with a 0.364 points percentage, averaging 27 goals for and 33 against. The disparity in record and efficiency metrics is dramatic.
- Recent matchup data shows Providence has dominated the rivalry. Hartford has won 0-2-2 in their last four meetings, indicating they struggle specifically against Providence despite their overall poor season performance.
- No specific injury information available in current data. Assume full roster availability for both teams unless additional reports emerge.
- Game is scheduled for 12:05 AM UTC on Thursday, which is an unconventional time suggesting potential scheduling around other league commitments. Providence plays at home with crowd support advantage.
- Providence has strong motivation to maintain their league-leading position and undefeated home record. Hartford faces significant pressure after consecutive losses and needs any available points to climb out of the standings basement.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Providence -210 / Hartford +160 | Providence Bruins | ★★★★☆ 88% |
| Spread | Providence -1.5 (120) / Hartford +1.5 (-155) | Providence Bruins -1.5 | ★★★★☆ 76% |
| Over/under | Over 5.5 (-125) / Under 5.5 (-105) | Under 5.5 | ★★★☆☆ 64% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Providence Bruins 28% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5.5 7% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Providence Bruins at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 59.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Providence Bruins will win convincingly in a low-variance outcome. Their exceptional record, superior goal differential, and home-ice advantage create minimal uncertainty in this matchup.
Predicted Score: Providence Bruins 4, Hartford Wolf Pack 2
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