Match Analysis: Calgary Wranglers vs San Jose Barracuda – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: Calgary Wranglers Home Ice
Game Overview
The Calgary Wranglers host the San Jose Barracuda in an AHL matchup featuring two closely matched teams. Calgary enters as favorites on home ice with slightly better recent offensive output and a solid H2H record. The matchup historically produces modest scoring totals with an average under 6 goals per game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Calgary has scored over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 9 AHL games and in 7 of their last 7 home games. Recent form favors Calgaryβs offense. San Jose has been competitive but is slightly underdog on the road.
- In 17 prior meetings, Calgary leads with 9 home wins and San Jose has 8 road wins. Average total goals in their matchups is about 5.88. The last two meetings ended 4-0 and 3-4, indicating tight but competitive affairs.
- No specific injury data suggests major absences. Both teams appear to field near full-strength rosters for this match.
- The match is played at Calgaryβs home arena, giving them home-ice advantage and the benefit of crowd support.
- Calgary, as a higher-seeded team, is motivated to maintain home dominance in this critical phase of the season; San Jose aims to steal points on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -245, away: +160 | Calgary Wranglers | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | home: +114, away: -155 | Calgary Wranglers -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | over: -117, under: -117 | Under 6 goals | β β β β β 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Calgary Wranglers -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 6 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 6 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Calgary Wranglers to win. Spread: Calgary Wranglers -1.5. Over/Under: Under 6 goals.
Predicted Score: Calgary Wranglers 4 – 2 San Jose Barracuda