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Santos vs. Mirassol Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Santos vs Mirassol – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-20
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Urbano Caldeira (Vila Belmiro)

Game Overview

Santos hosts Mirassol in a Brasileirão Serie A clash with both teams in contrasting form. Mirassol sits near the top of the table, while Santos struggles near the relegation zone. The match promises tactical tension as Mirassol looks to maintain their strong campaign and Santos fights for survival.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mirassol has won 5 of their last 7 league matches, scoring 54 goals and boasting a +21 goal difference. Santos has lost 4 of their last 6, including losing the first half in 4 of those. Mirassol’s attacking form and defensive solidity are clear advantages.
  • Mirassol leads recent H2H with 5 wins to Santos’ 2, and 4 draws. Mirassol has won 5 of the last 10 meetings, showing consistent edge.
  • No major injuries reported for either side, but Santos’ squad depth is a concern given their relegation battle and fixture congestion.
  • Santos is under pressure at home, but Mirassol’s away form is strong. Weather is expected to be clear, with no travel or pitch issues.
  • Mirassol is fighting for a top-tier finish, while Santos is battling to avoid relegation. Both teams are highly motivated, but Mirassol’s momentum is stronger.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 106, away: 245, draw: 245 Mirassol Not available
Spread home: -125, away: 105 Mirassol +0.25 Not available
Over/under over: -102, under: -118 Over 2.5 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mirassol 90%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mirassol at 90% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mirassol to win outright. Their superior form, attacking output, and recent dominance over Santos outweigh the home advantage. Santos’ defensive fragility and poor first-half record make them vulnerable.

Predicted Score: Santos 1-2 Mirassol


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Grêmio vs. Vasco da Gama Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 20, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Brazil

Game Overview

Brasileirão Série A matchday 34 encounter between Grêmio (home) and Vasco da Gama (away). Both teams are competing in Brazil's top division with different trajectories this season. Grêmio enters as slight favorites in the home advantage scenario.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Grêmio averages 2.0 goals when playing at home and concedes 0.8 goals per match at the Arena do Grêmio, indicating a strong defensive setup. Vasco da Gama, when playing away, averages 1.8 goals scored but concedes 1.6 goals per match, suggesting vulnerability on the road. This differential favors the home side significantly.
  • Historical context between these clubs typically favors matches with moderate goal totals. Recent form suggests competitive encounters with neither team achieving consistent dominance over the other.
  • No specific injury information available in current data. Both teams appear to have available squads for this fixture.
  • Home advantage at Arena do Grêmio is a significant factor. The 20:30 local kickoff time (evening fixture) is standard for Brazilian football and neither team should be disadvantaged.
  • Both clubs competing for league position in matchday 34 suggests motivation levels are high for securing points in the remainder of the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Grêmio -125 | Vasco +220 | Draw +225 Grêmio Win ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Grêmio -0.25 -105 | Vasco +25 -115 Grêmio -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.5 +105 | Under 2.5 -125 Under 2.5 Goals ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Grêmio 22%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Grêmio at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Grêmio to Win with Under 2.5 Total Goals. The combination of Grêmio's strong home defense (0.8 GA average) and Vasco's away struggles (1.6 GA average away) creates an environment where low-scoring outcomes are favored. The asymmetry in scoring patterns—Vasco averages only 1.8 goals away while Grêmio's home goal differential is +1.2—suggests a controlled match favoring the home side with limited offensive output.

Predicted Score: Grêmio 1-0 Vasco da Gama


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Fluminense vs. Flamengo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Fluminense vs Flamengo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-20
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Maracanã Stadium, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Fluminense hosts Flamengo in a high-stakes Brasileirão clash with both teams fighting for top table positioning. Flamengo has a slight edge in recent form and offense, but Fluminense boasts strong home performance and defensive solidity.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fluminense has 5 wins, 3 losses, and 2 draws recently, showing resilience especially at home. Flamengo has 6 wins, 2 losses, and 2 draws, with a more attacking style averaging 2.3 goals scored per game.
  • Historically close matchups with slight advantage to Flamengo in wins overall but Fluminense performs well at home with 8 home wins vs Flamengo's 6 away wins. Matches tend to be competitive and low-scoring.
  • No significant absences reported for either team, with lineups expected near full strength.
  • Atmosphere at Maracanã favors home side Fluminense; no notable weather or travel disruptions forecasted.
  • Both teams motivated; Flamengo chasing points to secure league position, Fluminense aiming to defend home ground and improve standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Flamengo: 103, Fluminense: 295, Draw: 215 Flamengo ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Flamengo -0.5: 105, Fluminense +50: -125 Flamengo -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2 goals: -128, Under 2 goals: 108 Under 2 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo moneyline win

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Palmeiras vs. Vitoria Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Palmeiras vs Vitoria – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 19, 2025
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Parque, São Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

Palmeiras hosts Vitória in a Brasileirão Betano matchup featuring a clear disparity in form and quality. Palmeiras, currently 1st in the league with 68 points, faces 16th-place Vitória (35 points) in a home fixture. This is a significant gap in both standings position and recent performance, with Palmeiras dominating domestically while Vitória struggles on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras have been exceptional at home, winning 9 of their last 10 home matches (90% win rate) with just 1 draw and 0 losses. They average 3.2 goals per game at home while conceding only 0.5 per match. Vitória, conversely, have collapsed on the road, winning just 1 of their last 10 away matches (10% win rate) with 7 losses. Vitória average only 0.7 goals when traveling while conceding 2.4 per match. League standings show Palmeiras as clear favorites: 21 wins, 5 draws, 6 losses with +30 goal differential versus Vitória's 8 wins, 11 draws, 14 losses with -18 goal differential.
  • Historically, Palmeiras dominate this fixture. In their last meeting on August 3, 2025, the match ended 2-2 as a recent draw. However, their all-time H2H record strongly favors Palmeiras: 12 wins compared to Vitória's 4 wins across 20 matches. Palmeiras have scored 35+ goals against Vitória across their meetings while Vitória have managed only 22-24. Recent form between the teams shows no draws in their last 10 encounters, indicating decisive outcomes.
  • Information regarding specific injuries is not available in the provided data. Assume standard squad availability unless confirmed otherwise.
  • The match is played at Palmeiras' home ground (Allianz Parque) in São Paulo, providing a significant home-field advantage. Vitória's poor away record suggests travel and psychological pressure may be contributing factors to their road struggles.
  • Palmeiras are fighting for the league title in 1st place and will be highly motivated to maintain their position with a convincing home win. Vitória, languishing in 16th, face survival pressure but historically underperform on the road, making them unlikely to mount a serious challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Palmeiras -380 | Vitória +1000 | Draw +500 Palmeiras Win ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Palmeiras -1.5 (-104) | Vitória +1.5 (-116) Palmeiras -1.5 ★★★★☆ 76%
Over/under Over 2.75 (-104) | Under 2.75 (-116) Over 2.75 ★★★★☆ 71%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 33%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras are overwhelming favorites and should comfortably defeat Vitória at home. Expect a dominant performance from the hosts with multiple goals and a clean sheet or minimal concessions. Palmeiras' combination of elite home form (90% win rate), poor away form by Vitória (10% win rate), significant league gap, and historical H2H dominance creates a highly asymmetric matchup favoring the hosts.

Predicted Score: Palmeiras 3-0 Vitória


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Botafogo vs. Sport Recife Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Botafogo vs Sport Recife – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 18, 2025
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: General Severiano Stadium, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Botafogo hosts Sport Recife in Matchday 34 of Brazil's Série A. Botafogo enters as heavy favorites with strong home form and clear ambitions for a Libertadores qualification, while Sport Recife arrives in poor form, seeking to escape relegation pressure with a road upset.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Botafogo shows solid form at home with 8 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses in home matches, and has recorded 2 wins and 3 draws in their last 5 games. Sport Recife is in crisis form with 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 consecutive losses in their last 5 matches. Sport also has only 1 away victory in the entire season and operates with the second-worst attack in the competition.
  • No specific historical H2H data provided in available sources, but Botafogo's home advantage combined with Sport's away record suggests a significant home edge.
  • No specific injury information available in provided sources. Assume both teams at full or near-full strength.
  • Botafogo seeks Libertadores qualification, providing strong motivation. Sport faces relegation pressure, creating urgency but limited confidence. Match played at Botafogo's fortress where they maintain strong winning percentage.
  • Botafogo: Direct Libertadores push with clear objectives. Sport Recife: Survival mode with minimal wins away from home creates psychological disadvantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Botafogo -410 | Draw +500 | Sport Recife +950 Botafogo Win ★★★★☆ 76%
Spread Botafogo -1.75 (-110) | Sport Recife +1.75 (-110) Botafogo -1.75 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 3.0 (-108) | Under 3.0 (-112) Under 3.0 ★★★★☆ 71%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Botafogo -20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Botafogo dominates this matchup with high-confidence home victory. Sport Recife's catastrophic away record, worst-ranked attack, and 5-game losing streak make them unlikely to generate scoring opportunities against Botafogo's efficient defense. Expect a controlled Botafogo performance resulting in a clean sheet or minimal goals conceded.

Predicted Score: Botafogo 2-0 Sport Recife


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Bragantino-SP vs. Atletico Mineiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bragantino-SP vs Atletico Mineiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-16
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid, Bragança Paulista, Brazil

Game Overview

The match features Bragantino-SP hosting Atletico Mineiro in the Brazilian Campeonato, with Bragantino slightly favored at home. Recent odds place Bragantino as slight favorites with moderately close contest odds, reflecting a competitive matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bragantino has maintained solid home form this season and shows consistent attacking output, while Atletico Mineiro has some recent strong away performances but is slightly inconsistent.
  • In recent direct encounters this season, Bragantino and Atletico Mineiro have had close games, with Bragantino marginally edging results, including a 4:3 match indicating closely contested play.
  • No significant injuries reported for either side that would heavily impact first team selection, maintaining relative squad strength.
  • Playing at home gives Bragantino a slight advantage. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be normal.
  • Both teams are motivated as they compete for higher standings late in the season, but Bragantino appears slightly more motivated to secure a home win to boost their league position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 113, away: 265, draw: 212 Bragantino-SP ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread home: -122, away: 102 Bragantino-SP -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under over: 100, under: -120 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bragantino-SP 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bragantino-SP at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Bragantino-SP to win; Spread: Bragantino-SP -0.25; Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Santos vs. Palmeiras Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Santos vs Palmeiras – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 16, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Vila Belmiro (Santos home ground)

Game Overview

Santos vs Palmeiras matchup in Campeonato Brasileiro Série A. Palmeiras arrive as heavy favorites, sitting atop the league with 68 points from 31 matches. Santos languish in 16th place with just 33 points from 30 matches and face potential relegation. Palmeiras dominated the recent head-to-head encounter 2-0 on November 6, 2025, with Vitor Roque scoring twice.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras are in excellent form with 21 wins, 5 draws, and only 5 losses this season (+31 goal differential). Recent form shows W-W-D-L-L. Santos have won only 8 of 30 matches with a concerning W-D-D-L-L recent form. Palmeiras have won 2 consecutive matches; Santos have not won in their last 3 games.
  • Historical record across 343 matches: Palmeiras 148 wins, Santos 107 wins, 88 draws. Palmeiras are on a 2-match winning streak against Santos and won their most recent encounter 2-0.
  • No specific injury information provided in available data.
  • Palmeiras are fighting to maintain their league-leading position. Santos face existential pressure with relegation looming. Match is played away from Palmeiras' home advantage (Allianz Parque), but at neutral or Santos' ground.
  • Palmeiras: Must win to maintain top position. Santos: Desperate for points to avoid relegation; critical motivation but limited quality to convert it into results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Palmeiras -122, Santos +215, Draw +235 Palmeiras Win ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Palmeiras -0.25 -108, Santos +25 -112 Palmeiras -0.25 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 +102, Under 2.5 -122 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras 38%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Palmeiras at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras to win convincingly. Their superior form, recent dominance in the fixture, and Santos' poor form create a significant performance gap. Expect Palmeiras to control the match and score multiple goals against a leaky defense.

Predicted Score: Palmeiras 2-0 Santos


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Sport Recife vs. Flamengo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sport Recife vs Flamengo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Ilha do Retiro, Recife, Brazil

Game Overview

This Brazil Campeonato match features struggling Sport Recife hosting top-tier Flamengo, a dominant force this season with strong attacking and defensive records.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Flamengo is in excellent form, winning 3 of last 5 matches and conceding only 0.4 goals per match, while Sport Recife has poor form with only 2 wins in 32 league matches and conceding 1.72 goals per match.
  • In 22 meetings since 2007, Flamengo leads with 13 wins, Sport Recife has 3 wins, and there have been 7 draws. Flamengo has consistently dominated this matchup.
  • No significant injuries reported for Flamengo. Sport Recife has typical squad fitness issues but no key absences impacting attack or defense.
  • Match played at Sport Recife’s home stadium, which may bolster their motivation, but Flamengo’s quality and away resilience remain decisive factors.
  • Sport Recife must avoid relegation and will be motivated to secure points, but Flamengo is pushing for the title with strong motivation to maintain top form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Flamengo: -335, Sport Recife: 900, Draw: 415 Flamengo ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Flamengo -1.5: -102, Sport Recife +1.5: -118 Flamengo -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: -120, Under 2.5: +100 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo to win on the moneyline, covering the -1.5 goal spread, with under 2.5 goals likely due to Flamengo's strong defense and moderate attacking pace.

Predicted Score: 0-2


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Atletico Mineiro vs. Fortaleza Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Atletico Mineiro vs Fortaleza – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-12
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte

Game Overview

Mid-table Atletico Mineiro host relegation-threatened Fortaleza in a match where home advantage and motivation dynamics could be decisive, despite Atletico's inconsistency and Fortaleza's occasional surprises.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atletico Mineiro sit 9th with 43 points, 11 wins, 10 draws, and 11 losses. Fortaleza are 19th, with 30 points, 7 wins, 9 draws, and 16 losses—scoring the fewest goals in the league. Atletico's home record is solid, while Fortaleza struggle on the road and against top-half teams[1].
  • Recent H2H meetings show Atletico as slight favorites but with a tendency for both teams to score (BTTS), especially in Belo Horizonte. Fortaleza have sometimes snatched a draw or narrow win, but overall, Atletico have the better record[1].
  • No significant injury news for either side reported in the latest data (none highlighted as absences or substitutes in pre-match analysis)[1].
  • No major external factors reported (weather, security, etc.). Atmosphere at Arena MRV is expected to favor Atletico.
  • Fortaleza are in genuine danger of relegation and will fight, but their lack of attacking threat and shaky defense are major concerns. Atletico have little to play for beyond pride and possibly finishing higher, but are generally more reliable at home[1].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atletico -145, Fortaleza +420, Draw +255 Atletico Mineiro ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Atletico -0.75 (-110), Fortaleza +75 (-110) Atletico -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under Over 2.25 (-118), Under 2.25 (-102) Over 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atletico Mineiro -22%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atletico Mineiro are clear favorites given the teams' form, table position, and H2H trends. Fortaleza's desperation might lead to a cagey first half, but Atletico should eventually break through, especially if Fortaleza push forward. Expect 2+ goals, with BTTS a likely outcome.

Predicted Score: Atletico Mineiro 2–1 Fortaleza


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Mirassol vs. Palmeiras Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Mirassol vs Palmeiras – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Game Overview

The match features 4th place Mirassol hosting 1st place Palmeiras in Brasileirão Serie A, with both teams showing strong offensive capabilities and recent form favoring a close, competitive game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mirassol has strong home form with 6 wins in last 10 home matches and averages 2.7 goals per game. Palmeiras leads the league with strong away competitiveness and averages 3.4 goals per game but has lost 3 of their last 10 away matches.
  • In their recent 8 meetings, Palmeiras have 5 wins, Mirassol 1 win, and 2 draws. The latest meeting ended 1-1, indicating a balanced competitive history.
  • No significant injury reports impacting key players for either side available at this time.
  • Mirassol enjoys home advantage and tends to dominate corners at home. Weather or pitch conditions have not been noted as a factor.
  • Palmeiras aims to consolidate their top spot with a win, while Mirassol is highly motivated to close the points gap and secure a top 4 finish.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mirassol: 310, Palmeiras: -103, Draw: 234 Palmeiras ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Mirassol +50: -117, Palmeiras -0.5: -103 Palmeiras -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.25: -118, Under 2.25: -102 Over 2.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras 14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Palmeiras at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras to win on the moneyline, Palmeiras -0.5 spread, and Over 2.25 total goals

Predicted Score: 1-2


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