Match Analysis: ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne vs AS Monaco - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-19
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: LDLC Arena
Game Overview
Euroleague basketball game between ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (home) and AS Monaco (away) with Monaco favored as per odds. Both teams are mid-table, Monaco showing better recent form and motivation.
Key Factors to Consider
- Monaco has won 6 of their last 10 matches and holds a .500 Euroleague record (3-3), whereas ASVEL has struggled recently with only 2 wins in 6 Euroleague games, standing 16th in the league with a 2-4 record.
- In the last 10 meetings, Monaco has won 7 times against ASVEL. The 2nd quarter often favors Monaco, with 6 out of 10 last matches having Monaco winning this quarter against ASVEL.
- No explicit injury reports are available, indicating both teams likely have their main rosters intact.
- The game is played at ASVEL's home arena (LDLC Arena), providing a slight home-court advantage, but momentum and odds heavily favor the visitors.
- Monaco aims to solidify its position and edge closer to playoff contention, while ASVEL is under pressure to break their losing streak at home.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: +180, away: -218 | Away (AS Monaco) to win | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | home: -105 (ASVEL +5.5), away: -115 (Monaco -5.5) | Monaco -5.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | over: -110, under: -110 | Under 168.5 points | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | AS Monaco -10% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 168.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 168.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Monaco to win on the moneyline, cover the -5.5 points spread, and the game to go under 168.5 total points.
Predicted Score: AS Monaco 87 - 79 ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
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