Match Analysis: Duke Blue Devils vs Kansas Jayhawks - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-19
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
Game Overview
Top-ranked Duke Blue Devils (4-0) face the Kansas Jayhawks (3-1) in a marquee early-season NCAA contest. Both teams have strong offenses but Duke boasts a stronger recent form and home-court intensity at Madison Square Garden, though technically a neutral site, which favors Duke's momentum.
Key Factors to Consider
- Duke is undefeated this season (4-0), showing dominant form with high shooting percentages and strong defense allowing only 61.9 PPG. Kansas has a solid 3-1 record but their defense allows 69.3 PPG; Duke is superior statistically in points, field goal, and defensive metrics.
- Recent H2H favors Duke with momentum and superior execution; Dukeβs recent wins against top opponents and ability to cover spreads (4-0 ATS last 5 games) suggest Rhodes hold an edge.
- No significant injuries reported for either team. Both squads appear fully healthy and at full strength.
- Neutral-site venue at Madison Square Garden slightly favors Duke given East Coast proximity and recent crowd compositions. No travel or rest disadvantages noted.
- Duke remains highly motivated to maintain their undefeated status and top national ranking; Kansas aims to prove themselves but are slight underdogs psychologically and in betting sentiment.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -305 | Duke Blue Devils | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | -110 | Duke Blue Devils -7.5 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | -110 | Under 150.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Duke Blue Devils -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 150.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 150.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Duke Blue Devils to win straight up, cover the -7.5 spread, and the game to stay under the 150.5 total points line.
Predicted Score: Duke Blue Devils 78 - Kansas Jayhawks 69
This Pick Releases in 22 Minutes!
Unlock NOW by Sharing This Post!