Match Analysis: Portland St Vikings vs CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-18
- Time: 3:00 AM UTC
- Location: Viking Pavilion, Portland, OR
Game Overview
Portland State Vikings host the CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners in a Big Sky conference non-conference contest. Portland State comes in with a 1-2 record but boasts a strong home advantage with a 12-game home winning streak. CSU Bakersfield is 2-2 this season, showing mixed results on the road, with recent struggles in night games away from home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Portland State averages 90.33 points per game and allows 81, indicating a strong offense but a leaky defense. CSU Bakersfield scores less (69.25 ppg) but also has a better defense in terms of points allowed (72). Recent form favors Portland State at home with big margins of victory in wins, while CSU Bakersfield has suffered losses with wide margins away.
- Portland State holds the advantage at home with a 12-game winning streak at Viking Pavilion. CSU Bakersfield has historically struggled in road night games against non-conference opponents, losing 12 of the last 13. However, Bakersfield has won many recent road night games against Big Sky teams and has started strong in the first half against Portland in recent matchups.
- No significant injuries reported on either side affecting key players for this matchup.
- The game is played at Portlandβs home venue late at night, favoring the Vikings who have shown resilience in night games versus non-conference foes. Public betting heavily backs Portland State, indicating strong market confidence.
- Portland State, despite the 1-2 record, is highly motivated to defend its home turf and maintain its streak. CSU Bakersfield seeks to prove road night game struggles wrong but may be under pressure due to recent damaging losses.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Portland State Vikings: -320, CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners: +255 | Portland State Vikings | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Portland State Vikings -6.5: -110, CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners +6.5: -110 | Portland State Vikings -6.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 145.5: -115, Under 145.5: -105 | Under 145.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Portland St Vikings 166% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 145.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Portland St Vikings at 166% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 65.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Portland State Vikings to win straight up (Moneyline), cover the 6.5 point spread, and the game total to go under 145.5 points
Predicted Score: Portland State Vikings 74 - CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners 65
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