Match Analysis: Missouri Tigers vs Prairie View Panthers - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 18, 2025
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Mizzou Arena, Columbia
Game Overview
Missouri Tigers (4-0) host Prairie View A&M Panthers (2-2) in a non-conference matchup. Missouri enters as a heavy favorite, boasting a perfect record and elite offensive efficiency. Prairie View arrives in poor form, having lost their last four games with significant point differentials.
Key Factors to Consider
- Missouri is undefeated at 4-0 with dominant statistics: 57.6% field goal percentage (3rd nationally), 91.5 points per game, 38.0 rebounds per game, and 63.6% free throw shooting. Most recently, they defeated Minnesota 83-60. Prairie View is 2-2 with four consecutive losses (by margins of 6, 27, 9, and 43 points to Oklahoma State, Wichita State, Florida A&M, and Texas Southern). Prairie View averages 79.5 points on 44.4% shooting while allowing 75 points on 43.5% shooting.
- No recent head-to-head history available between these programs. This is a significant mismatch in program strength and current form.
- Missouri has Jayden Stone (Guard) out for the season with an upper body injury. Prairie View has multiple players dealing with lower body and foot injuries (Pierce, Boateng, Burns), which could impact depth and mobility.
- This is a home game for Missouri at Mizzou Arena, where they have demonstrated dominance. The significant gap in conference strength (Missouri SEC vs. Prairie View SWAC) heavily favors the Tigers. Public betting shows 69% of bets on Missouri with significant sharp money backing the Tigers as well.
- Missouri is building an undefeated resume and has strong tournament implications. Prairie View is in desperation mode after four straight losses and faces a likely blowout scenario.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Missouri -37 (-109), Prairie View +37 (-122) | Missouri Tigers -37 | β β β β β 78% |
| Over/under | Over 163.5 (-108), Under 163.5 (-108) | Under 163.5 | β β β β β 71% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 163.5 37% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 163.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 39.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Missouri Tigers will dominate Prairie View A&M decisively. The gap in talent, efficiency, and momentum is substantial. Expect Missouri to control the game from start to finish with a comfortable double-digit victory.
Predicted Score: Missouri 95, Prairie View 55
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